Edited by xD&Cox, 08 June 2007 - 05:45 PM.
dis remiynds me da bool
Started by
A-ha
, Jun 08 2007 05:38 PM
14 replies to this topic
#2
NAV
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Posted 09 June 2007 - 07:06 AM
XD,
Those were some nice charts you posted in your blog, before the decline begun. Good work there.
Edited by NAV, 09 June 2007 - 07:07 AM.
#3
Bob-C
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Posted 09 June 2007 - 08:17 AM
Hi XD, keep up your good work! 
Cheers,
Bob-C
Cheers,
Bob-C
Disclaimer: None of my posts are meant to be taken as investment advice or trading advice. Do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any trades or investments.
#4
dws
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Posted 09 June 2007 - 10:38 AM
What's the blog address for XD&COX?
#5
A-ha
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Posted 09 June 2007 - 12:45 PM
I am glad you guys liked them...
As you know, those trend lines are to spot the trade entry/exits but doesnt tell us how long the setup may last.
We got more clues as the week progressed. Small specs went net long , first time this year and commercials are now net short, first time in months.
This is happening in a cratering market and very encouraging for the bear case.
it is http://www.xtrends.blogspot.com/
As you know, those trend lines are to spot the trade entry/exits but doesnt tell us how long the setup may last.
We got more clues as the week progressed. Small specs went net long , first time this year and commercials are now net short, first time in months.
This is happening in a cratering market and very encouraging for the bear case.
What's the blog address for XD&COX?
it is http://www.xtrends.blogspot.com/
#6
rkd80
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Posted 09 June 2007 - 01:24 PM
Definitely nice call, BBB also made a great call on Friday morning.
What is the easiest way to determine what the commercials are doing? some COT site? Or is there something that is not subscription dependent.
What is the easiest way to determine what the commercials are doing? some COT site? Or is there something that is not subscription dependent.
I am glad you guys liked them...
As you know, those trend lines are to spot the trade entry/exits but doesnt tell us how long the setup may last.
We got more clues as the week progressed. Small specs went net long , first time this year and commercials are now net short, first time in months.
This is happening in a cratering market and very encouraging for the bear case.
What's the blog address for XD&COX?
it is http://www.xtrends.blogspot.com/
“be right and sit tight”
#7
A-ha
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Posted 09 June 2007 - 01:29 PM
This site has weekly COT data for some of the commodities and indices.
http://www.softwaren...itmentscurrent/
http://www.softwaren...itmentscurrent/
#8
BigBadBear
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Posted 09 June 2007 - 02:21 PM
THANK YOU
Definitely nice call, BBB also made a great call on Friday morning.
What is the easiest way to determine what the commercials are doing? some COT site? Or is there something that is not subscription dependent.
I am glad you guys liked them...
As you know, those trend lines are to spot the trade entry/exits but doesnt tell us how long the setup may last.
We got more clues as the week progressed. Small specs went net long , first time this year and commercials are now net short, first time in months.
This is happening in a cratering market and very encouraging for the bear case.
What's the blog address for XD&COX?
it is http://www.xtrends.blogspot.com/
#9
rkd80
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Posted 10 June 2007 - 08:39 AM
xD,
Very very cool! Thanks a ton.
I dohave a follow-up regarding the data though.
From what I can see looking at the DJ COT chart, small specs have been going long on and off since start of 07 but their level of activity seems extremely small. ON a smaller time frame apparently they wonly went long since 3 weeks ago (when they were short).
Similarly commercials have been apparently selling?? since early 07 and only started showing their horns after Feb 27th? Yet they are still selling...just less? Can that be right? at the risk of sounding too amateurish is it possible to get a brief usage on these charts? because they just confused me further...
-rkd
Very very cool! Thanks a ton.
I dohave a follow-up regarding the data though.
From what I can see looking at the DJ COT chart, small specs have been going long on and off since start of 07 but their level of activity seems extremely small. ON a smaller time frame apparently they wonly went long since 3 weeks ago (when they were short).
Similarly commercials have been apparently selling?? since early 07 and only started showing their horns after Feb 27th? Yet they are still selling...just less? Can that be right? at the risk of sounding too amateurish is it possible to get a brief usage on these charts? because they just confused me further...
-rkd
This site has weekly COT data for some of the commodities and indices.
http://www.softwaren...itmentscurrent/
Edited by rkd80, 10 June 2007 - 08:48 AM.
“be right and sit tight”
#10
A-ha
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Posted 10 June 2007 - 12:02 PM
When I analyze COT data, I give the greatest emphasis to S&P big contract (ticker SP) not Dow or Nasdaq or any other index because SP , in my opinion, shows Commercial's real stand since they mostly trade it heavily.
Commercials have been bullish on SP since the March lows but in the last 3 weeks they have been scaling out. This week they finally went net short.
On the other side of the spectrum, small specs have been bearish since the March lows and they were getting bullish in the last 2- weeks. They finally went net long this week. Exactly the opposite of what Commercials did.
Commercials have been bearish on Dow and they have been getting more bearish in the last 3 weeks.
Edited by xD&Cox, 10 June 2007 - 12:03 PM.
