4 replies to this topic

[Rogerdodger]

I have two notes scribbled in my notebook for tomorrow:
1. Terry Laundry's "T" ends.
2. First quarter moon.

Terry is bullish until Novemberish when he is expecting the end of the world as we know it, but has allowed for strong pullbacks to the 55ma in-between.

The last First Quarter moon was a top, and the last two 3/4 moons were bottoms.
If tomorrow is a high before more selling, I'll call it 4 for 4.
If it's not, I'll blame the government.

Edited by Rogerdodger, 21 June 2007 - 10:17 PM.

[NAV]

If tomorrow is a high before more selling, I'll call it 4 for 4.
If it's not, I'll blame the government.

[rkd80]

Does that imply that the moon will cause a spike to new highs and then selling the same day or just that a top has formed. Not familiar with this moon stuff.

I have two notes scribbled in my notebook for tomorrow:
1. Terry Laundry's "T" ends.
2. First quarter moon.

Terry is bullish until Novemberish when he is expecting the end of the world as we know it, but has allowed for strong pullbacks to the 55ma in-between.

The last First Quarter moon was a top, and the last two 3/4 moons were bottoms.
If tomorrow is a high before more selling, I'll call it 4 for 4.
If it's not, I'll blame the government.

[Rogerdodger]

From April 1st post (No Foolin):

We find strong lunar cycle effects in stock returns. Specifically, returns in the 15 days around new moon dates are about double the returns in the 15 days around full moon dates. This pattern of returns is pervasive; we find it for all major U.S. stock indexes over the last 100 years and for nearly all major stock indexes of 24 other countries over the last 30 years. In contrast, we find no reliable or economically important evidence of lunar cycle effects in return volatility and volume of trading. Taken as a whole, this evidence is consistent with popular beliefs that lunar cycles affect human behavior.

Edited by Rogerdodger, 21 June 2007 - 11:29 PM.

[relax]

today is summer solstice - big moves tend to happen on these days

From April 1st post (No Foolin):

We find strong lunar cycle effects in stock returns. Specifically, returns in the 15 days around new moon dates are about double the returns in the 15 days around full moon dates. This pattern of returns is pervasive; we find it for all major U.S. stock indexes over the last 100 years and for nearly all major stock indexes of 24 other countries over the last 30 years. In contrast, we find no reliable or economically important evidence of lunar cycle effects in return volatility and volume of trading. Taken as a whole, this evidence is consistent with popular beliefs that lunar cycles affect human behavior.