10 year yields. Ready to fly again ?
Started by
ogm
, Jul 04 2007 05:34 AM
8 replies to this topic
#1
Posted 04 July 2007 - 05:34 AM
#2
Posted 04 July 2007 - 05:58 AM
Hi ogm, thanks for the heads up and the TNX chart. See my reply to you and Barry together with CPC, CPCI, CPCE, and VIX daily and weekly charts.here: ---> http://www.traders-t...showtopic=72294
Cheers,
Bob-C
Disclaimer: None of my posts are meant to be taken as investment advice or trading advice. Do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any trades or investments.
#3
Posted 04 July 2007 - 08:11 AM
I posted this on Friday and didn't realize this: Thanks to Al on another board
Tea,
The decline in the TNX from the 68.23 high in January of 2000 to the 30.74 low in June of 2003 was a FIB (377-2)/10 points. The corrective rally you described from the June 2003 low will be a precise FIB (.618) correction at 53.94 which will be a FIB (233-1)/10 points.
AI
Click Here to see Full Sized Image
Tea,
The decline in the TNX from the 68.23 high in January of 2000 to the 30.74 low in June of 2003 was a FIB (377-2)/10 points. The corrective rally you described from the June 2003 low will be a precise FIB (.618) correction at 53.94 which will be a FIB (233-1)/10 points.
AI
Click Here to see Full Sized Image
#4
Posted 04 July 2007 - 08:58 AM
What do you think of the monthly charts then ? Seems to me like there is MUCH more to come to the upside on the yields. And pretty much all world central banks are under pressure to increase rates. You might have a better view with Stockcharts, since I don't have all historical data, but I think it should look about the same in the bigger picture too.
#5
Posted 04 July 2007 - 09:12 AM
Sure..we could get a pop over that top wedge on my chart....something ala 87 .......wouldn't that be a kicker. You have to check out the link in this link to see the similar cup with handle.
http://www.traders-t...mp;#entry297414
http://www.traders-t...mp;#entry297414
Edited by Teaparty, 04 July 2007 - 09:14 AM.
#6
Posted 04 July 2007 - 11:48 AM
TNX
monthly, wkly up trend R 5.80
daily down trend S 4.85
15-60min uptrend R 5.15
vitaminm
#7
Posted 04 July 2007 - 01:00 PM
#8
Posted 04 July 2007 - 10:58 PM
With earnings coming up, rates should not go up very much. If they do, the FED/PPT will act quickly to knock then back down.
#9
Posted 05 July 2007 - 03:55 AM
With earnings coming up, rates should not go up very much. If they do, the FED/PPT will act quickly to knock then back down.
I think that is the only market that Fed has absolutely no control over. Its simply too big for even the Fed or PPT to manipulate.