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Bond Poll


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Poll: 10 and 30 yr bond prices for next week

10 and 30 yr bond prices (NOT rates) will...

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#1 arbman

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Posted 15 July 2007 - 04:33 PM

Thanks... - kisa

#2 xe2dy

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Posted 15 July 2007 - 04:59 PM

Just one more nail, maybe.

http://www.bloomberg...id=aLaColVYu5LA

#3 SandStorm

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Posted 15 July 2007 - 06:29 PM

Just one more nail, maybe.

http://www.bloomberg...id=aLaColVYu5LA


That's foreigners saying we can't cheat by inflating our way to prosperity indefinitely.

And if we can't inflate then we can't import liquidity and easy credit indifinitely.

And if can't have easy credit then we can't borrow indefinitely.

And if can't borrow then we can't postpone the inevitable indefinitely.

The ultimate outcome of debt is always deflationary.

#4 ogm

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Posted 15 July 2007 - 08:06 PM

Hard to say about next few days, but the daily, weekly and monthly are all in uptrend now.

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#5 arbman

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Posted 15 July 2007 - 09:03 PM

I thought that the pattern at the end of the bull flag looked like a diamond. I think it will spike very rapidly at some point. The implied volatility on TLT did not come down for days, I think the rates are about to break out again...