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Covering under cover of weakness???


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#1 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:01 AM

Check out the RUT vs. everything else. We know that the system is clogged with shorts, but this is fascinating. I advised anyone hedging with TWM to dump this morning.

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#2 securelstmile

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:14 AM

This morning goog and aapl were getting crushed and the rut was green. That is the inverse of the bull run of just 1 month ago. Don't you love the market!!!!
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#3 Shazzam

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:17 AM

my tell has been the regional bank index, ACBQ, up over 3% today and never took out last weeks lows. Time to go long!

#4 rkd80

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:24 AM

my tell has been the regional bank index, ACBQ, up over 3% today and never took out last weeks lows. Time to go long!


mark,

i thought it was telling this morning that ER2 held August 6th lows. There is definitely underlying strength there...might change by EOD, but as of now - its the place to be if long apparently.
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#5 OEXCHAOS

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:26 AM

When we turn, the Rut will be up 5% in two days. Covering a profitable short is very easy to do quickly. Or rather, it's very easy to WANT to do quickly. Mark

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#6 SemiBizz

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:31 AM

It's all about % of Institutional Ownership Mark...
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#7 rkd80

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:35 AM

When we turn, the Rut will be up 5% in two days.

Covering a profitable short is very easy to do quickly. Or rather, it's very easy to WANT to do quickly.

Mark


I think covering in time is one of the hardest things to do in trading. Bounces/rallies happen so quickly that seasoned shorters are proned to covering for they do not want to get nailed - again. Tops are always a long and agonizing process so there is more time to act.

At least that has been my experience as of late, which could be a bull market type phenomena. Granted last few weeks it apparently has been the opposite, but being short now is scary even though there could be more downside potential.
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#8 SemiBizz

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 10:42 AM

There is a big difference between a fund panic and a small investor panic... we have not seen the latter yet.
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#9 sglasson

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Posted 16 August 2007 - 02:09 PM

When we turn, the Rut will be up 5% in two days.

Covering a profitable short is very easy to do quickly. Or rather, it's very easy to WANT to do quickly.

Mark


purchased R2K fd yesterday - looking for a run back to 800 if she continues to hold up - if not, looking to exit near 770/75 - that's about 5% or so - will also consider flipping short at these levels too - mkts moving fast - dont blink