6 replies to this topic

[blitz99]

The great oct crashes of 1929,1987,and 1997experienced a record high with the moon sited near the autum equinox of 180 degrees.The moon was also found in the same position during the actual panic.For all six events of peaks and crashes the moon was located between 160 to 185 degrees e. Which would be vary unlikely by chance.On july 19 2007 the dow and S&P experienced a record high,on that day the moon was located virtually on the autum equinox a finding that may indicate another october panic.Amazingly the record highs in 1987,1997,and 2007 were seperated by intervals of exactly 3634 days or 123.06 snodic months. Variations on this theme are to be found in the intervals between the 1847 and 1857 Brtish, US banking panics.The lunar phase for october 24 2007 aligns with october falls in 1927,1937and 1989. Now if we look at when the record highs occured, it shows us that if the peak occured after september 3 the crash occured within 14 to 24 days and the correction was short lived and lasted just a few weeks. In contrast if the peak was made before september 3 the market crash did not happen for at least 45 days after the peak and was followed by a post crash low after the big crash. Since this years peak was before sept 3 expect a crash followed by another low. September 3 1929 peak 56 days to crash october 29. August 25 1987 peak followed by 55 days to crash. August 6 1997 peak 82 days to crash. July 17 1998 peak followed by 45 days to low.Conclusion july 19 2007 peak could crash either on 55 days which would be september 12 or more likely we rally into late sept and the crash would arrive on october 8 or at 82 days on october 24.Buyer BEWARE its not over till its over. Refrences Charles P kindleberger MANIAs PANICS AND CRASHES 1978 updated 1996 Also David Mcminn Market timing by the moon and sun, Twin palms publishing 2006

[ogm]

How many crash posts does that make for today ?

[BigBadBear]

about 5 so far...lol

[normxxx]

Geez! This new generation is tame! Running for the hills on a 2% pullback. Ah, for a few of those 5% days— in succession! (Preferably both ways.)

[HoseB]

Geez! This new generation is tame! Running for the hills on a 2% pullback.

Yeah, and they whine like a baby for a Fed rate cut on a -5% MONTH.

[pdx5]

No kidding What will this new generation do if we get a 22% down day like in 1987? I bet they will be jumping out of their basement window

[johngeorge]

No kidding

What will this new generation do if we get a 22% down day like in 1987?
I bet they will be jumping out of their basement window

Mr commonsense

Now ain't that the truth! I may not qualify as an old timer in the stock market (I am a great grandfather), but, I clearly remember being in mutual funds on that day in Oct. 1987 and selling at the low soon thereafter for a fat loss. Sure scared me out for a few of years.
Nothing wrong with being prepared, but, a couple% point move really isn't much. After all I do love the bears as they have made me money over the years.
Best to you