10 replies to this topic

[A-ha]

in addition to yesterdays NQs from 2137 avg i am also salivating over ER ...

[rkd80]

atilla, you not suprised/impressed with recent relative strength from er2 over es? one of the signs in july that things were rotten was er2's inability to stage any kind of breakout, but its looking healthier this time around.

[snorkels4]

ive been looking at uvpix for months hey, did gold dump back into channel? or will it breakout?

[A-ha]

ive been looking at uvpix for months

hey, did gold dump back into channel? or will it breakout?

If gold goes higher, S&P will too.

The way commercials positioned implies gold should underperform S&P ... as they hedged their SPX bags with gold...

or maybe they hedged their gold shorts with SPX

but you got the point... I think they bet on the big breakdown on dollar which should they think push SPX and Gold higher...

atilla, you not suprised/impressed with recent relative strength from er2 over es? one of the signs in july that things were rotten was er2's inability to stage any kind of breakout, but its looking healthier this time around.

have you noticed how RUT was unable to test the channel top line last time SPX and all other major indices perfectly did...

This implies that when the market starts the next big one on the downside... RUT will break below this channel




take a look at the below.. this almost gurantees relative weakness for small caps

Edited by A-ha, 02 October 2007 - 10:12 AM.

[rkd80]

good answer, your larger time frame puts things into perspective.

[redfoliage2]

in addition to yesterdays NQs from 2137 avg

i am also salivating over ER ...

I'd not short Chinese stocks. It will blast to new high after their National Day holidays next week. It's safer to buy chinese and sell US stocks.

[arbman]

What is both fists? 5% allocation or 50%? What is the leverage in your allocation? Are you buying puts or just shorting the cash (ETF)?

[A-ha]

What is both fists? 5% allocation or 50%?

What is the leverage in your allocation? Are you buying puts or just shorting the cash (ETF)?

Little heavier than my usual moderate line.. .No leverage... shorted ETF >190 not buying puts

Edited by A-ha, 02 October 2007 - 02:09 PM.

[arbman]

I threw in there a few puts. The implied volatility on this index is around 50%, amazing risk implied, this rally was done on increasing IV despite its low volatility advance...

link

[arbman]

I am taking partial profit on the FXI Oct 190 puts, about 50% profit on these at the moment. I am going to leave the rest at least for a double on the house money.