5 replies to this topic

[dcengr]

People buying deep out of money puts are going to lose it, IMO. I do see some rotation out of certain sectors into big caps safeties. I think that's mostly out of realization that growth is not going to go gang busters with Fed cutting rates. But do I think there's a high sigma short duration event? I doubt it.. and if this declines any faster, I'd be buying with both fists. But if its a steady downtrend and it remains intact, not too fast, then I'll be keeping my short on. I also think many will be waiting for a pop to short into.. I'm thinking there won't be such a pop except maybe small 1-2 day events.. All FWIW and blah blah blah. Just one of many random predictions presented without much of any evidence like 100s of others given each day here.

[NAV]

Primal Fear !

[milbank]

People buying deep out of money puts are going to lose it, IMO.

I do see some rotation out of certain sectors into big caps safeties. I think that's mostly out of realization that growth is not going to go gang busters with Fed cutting rates.

But do I think there's a high sigma short duration event? I doubt it.. and if this declines any faster, I'd be buying with both fists.

But if its a steady downtrend and it remains intact, not too fast, then I'll be keeping my short on. I also think many will be waiting for a pop to short into.. I'm thinking there won't be such a pop except maybe small 1-2 day events..

All FWIW and blah blah blah. Just one of many random predictions presented without much of any evidence like 100s of others given each day here.

I agree. While there will, of course, be some major downdrafts, I think the IT is going to be "a death by a 1,000 cuts" scenario...for both bulls and bears.

[James Quillian]

People buying deep out of money puts are going to lose it, IMO.

I do see some rotation out of certain sectors into big caps safeties. I think that's mostly out of realization that growth is not going to go gang busters with Fed cutting rates.

But do I think there's a high sigma short duration event? I doubt it.. and if this declines any faster, I'd be buying with both fists.

But if its a steady downtrend and it remains intact, not too fast, then I'll be keeping my short on. I also think many will be waiting for a pop to short into.. I'm thinking there won't be such a pop except maybe small 1-2 day events..

All FWIW and blah blah blah. Just one of many random predictions presented without much of any evidence like 100s of others given each day here.

I don't think we'll see a crash either, at least not now.
I think there is a good chance we'll see a steady slide.
And, a crash early next year is more of a likely possibility.
An unstopable slide almost always occurs before a crash.

[nimblebear]

If we can't talk CRASH, can we at least talk TRASH ? Your mama is a bear !

[SemiBizz]

Yeah... no crash - just a hard landing....