Jump to content



Photo

the worst market since World War II


  • Please log in to reply
4 replies to this topic

#1 Insider

Insider

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,393 posts

Posted 20 October 2007 - 08:58 AM

LINK HERE

CHICAGO (Reuters) - Caterpillar Inc (CAT.N: Quote, Profile, Research), which makes diesel engines that power the biggest trucks on the highway, said on Friday the North American trucking market is going through a downturn that may be the worst in more than 50 years.

Speaking on a conference call to discuss its third-quarter results, Doug Oberhelman, Caterpillar group president with responsibility for engines, said the market for those engines in North America was the softest he has seen in his career.

"We're experiencing the worst market ... probably since World War II," Oberhelman said. "Those of you who saw September net orders of 11,000 trucks in the industry would recognize that. That's the lowest I can remember in a long, long time."

Oberhelman said softness in the general economy was hitting shippers, and would continue to hurt engine and truck makers.

"GDP growth will drive freight tonnage," he said, "And freight tonnage is dropping both in rail and truck. And we see that continuing frankly right into spring.

"We won't know until spring or early summer where freight tonnage is going to land. We're worried about it. Certainly the winter is going to be slow for truck and truck engine production."

Insider :D
BEAR MARKET - JULY 29, 2011

Current Position:

Short the Dow from 12200

#2 Sentient Being

Sentient Being

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 4,262 posts

Posted 20 October 2007 - 10:44 AM

I heard something about this on the radio the other day. It certainly sounds like what we already know, things are slowing down, at least. It's been a long bull run.
In the end we retain from our studies only that which we practically apply.

~ Johann Wolfgang Von Goethe ~

#3 bobalou

bobalou

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 1,878 posts

Posted 20 October 2007 - 10:55 AM

the new EPA laws, could of helped the sales to be off

#4 milbank

milbank

    Member

  • TT Patron+
  • 4,714 posts

Posted 20 October 2007 - 11:50 AM

One company who's forward looking appraisals I really respect is CAT. CAT is not just an indicator of the state of the construction industry in this country but, globally. The other is FedEx. FedEx not only reflects shipping but buying of goods to ship. Last month FedEx came out with a similar forward looking appraisal. Both are indicators of what's coming and both saw things getting much worse for their concerns going forward. For FedEx to come out with a lousy forward looking appraisal of their business right before the Christmas season is not good at all.

Edited by milbank, 20 October 2007 - 11:54 AM.

"The power of accurate observation is commonly called cynicism by those who have not got it."
--George Bernard Shaw


"None are so hopelessly enslaved as those who falsely believe they are free."
--Johann Wolfgang von Goethe


#5 Drano

Drano

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 481 posts

Posted 20 October 2007 - 11:54 AM

AMZN ships by FedEx. Just saying....