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What if Japan becomes Uninhabitable ?


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#1 Mr Dev

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 02:20 PM

Maybe not all but half of Japan,... That's a lot of people .

Anyone have a model for that one ?

If you think im way out of the box with this thought ... you may want to compare it to my March 3rd Post here ...where i use the word catastrophe

Edited by Mr Dev, 17 March 2011 - 02:27 PM.


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#2 orange

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 02:44 PM

There is always panic when these events occur, which is expected. I have no clue what kind of fallout all these disasters in Japan will have. If Tokyo has to be abandoned, I don't know where you are going to place 12 million people... Maybe China, I hear they have a lot of empty real estate :D If you recall the BP disaster, there was talk of the gulf being destroyed for decades. Bankruptcy was the word of the month, and the stock bottomed a couple weeks later and now you hear nothing of it. Remember Goldman? The stock market plunged, and there was talk that Goldman was screwed. They ended up with a slap on the hand.

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#3 dcengr

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 02:47 PM

You can tell him that, but when a man is buttload short, he will only listen to negative news and vice versa. Sometimes it works but when things get extreme.. as traders you got to at least be able to think contrarian.
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#4 pdx5

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 03:02 PM

If TWO direct hits of plutonium bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki failed to make Japan inhabitable, I would'nt count on any part of Japan becoming inhabitable. In case you have not heard both cities are rebuilt and thriving.
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#5 Sooth

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 03:03 PM

Relocate them to Detroit. It's Michigan's only possible hope. :ninja:

#6 viccarter

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 03:10 PM

Relocate them to Detroit.

It's Michigan's only possible hope. :ninja:



+1

#7 Mr Dev

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 03:39 PM

right on :ninja:

.. .. ..
Mr Dev

......trading is basically a simple operation, but you have to be a genius to understand the simplicity.
.....timing,..... is ....everything !
... remember no guessing visit MrDev!

#8 Mr Dev

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 04:03 PM

If TWO direct hits of plutonium bombs on Hiroshima and Nagasaki failed to
make Japan inhabitable, I would'nt count on any part of Japan becoming inhabitable.
In case you have not heard both cities are rebuilt and thriving.


do you know how much plutonium you are comparing .. it doesnt sound like it.
reactors compared to a war head think again.
like i said my idea is way out of the box ... just like the others that have materialized over the months.

no im not expecting half of Japan to become inhabitable but
if im right about a 50-100 mile area around this reactor...... they are not going to send in CAT Dossers and other equipment to Clean Up & rebuild the area..
...... hell people might not live thru the completion of the process.

this is much different than Katrina or .. an Oil spill ... more like Chernobyl .

this event is not close to being over yet and again could get worse before better .. i've never studied the populations around Chernobyl
but a quick web search shows examples of small cities prior to 1986 of 50,000 have about 800 people living there now, that's a huge percentage loss...think of it in dollars. ;)

this reactor area in Japan will be most likely be condemned for decades.

for the record ... time will tell
:bowtie:

Edited by Mr Dev, 17 March 2011 - 04:05 PM.


.. .. ..
Mr Dev

......trading is basically a simple operation, but you have to be a genius to understand the simplicity.
.....timing,..... is ....everything !
... remember no guessing visit MrDev!

#9 dasein

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 04:27 PM

rice paddies and fishing - very sad - will the wind take it to N Korea tho?
best,
klh

#10 Rogerdodger

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Posted 17 March 2011 - 04:29 PM

Actuarial science would dictate much of Japan has always been unhabitable due to REPEATED tsunami destruction.
But minor radiation risk makes for better headlines.

Japan 1891:
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Edited by Rogerdodger, 17 March 2011 - 04:32 PM.