deliberations
#11
Posted 18 October 2012 - 03:58 PM
Sorry - it's a rainy day here so I am "playing" with charts - trying to come up with a near-term 1-12 days low, a possible seconday low end of Nov/early December and then your Jan 2013 target of 2,100:
This is my current count (modified slightly with a-b-c for Wave 4 (hitting the expected near-term low and a secondary low in late Nov/early Dec) followed by an impulse into January (Wave 5 of 1 with Wave 5 extending):
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=D&yr=1&mn=8&dy=0&i=p31059369907&a=280889610&r=126.png
By modifying the count still in Wave 3 of 1 (hitting the expected near-term low Wave iv of 3 and then completing Wave v of 3 into late Nov followed by a seconday low at year end for Wave 4 of 1) followed by an impulse into January (Wave 5 of 1):
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$GOLD&p=D&yr=1&mn=8&dy=0&i=p31059369907&a=280891035&r=3669.png
If either of these scenarios play out the SWHTF over the next 3 or so months! Hmmm.... so many possibilities.
stubaby
#12
Posted 18 October 2012 - 08:57 PM
#13
Posted 19 October 2012 - 09:15 AM
I prefer to draw support/resistance lines drom the bodies of the candlestick charts and not from the tail ends. If this holds true and you redraw your downsloping triangle support line, the 61.8% retracement becomes a real possibility.
http://stockcharts.c...p...&r=7584.png
-tria
In the world of 0 and 1: "austerity" is the right thing to SAY; "spent more, print more" is the right thing to DO.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take."
~ Wayne Gretzky
#14
Posted 19 October 2012 - 10:07 AM
Stubaby,
I prefer to draw support/resistance lines drom the bodies of the candlestick charts and not from the tail ends. If this holds true and you redraw your downsloping triangle support line, the 61.8% retracement becomes a real possibility.
http://stockcharts.c...p...&r=7584.png
-tria
tria:
I put more weight on FIB levels than trendlines, unless of course we have support or resistance with multiple touches. Regardless of where the excact bottom is the next move up will be meaningful (Note: Been in CEF since 2002 as part of my "core" PM positions)
http://stockcharts.c...01-30&en=(today)&i=p75152999127&a=280956880&r=4180.png
stubaby
#15
Posted 19 October 2012 - 10:34 AM
1716 and 1697 are my support zones, and obviously the round #.
considering the magnitude of the advance off the may 16th lows, this correction is still minor on the fib retracements
hourly charts are oversold
soon, we see the nature of the rally. will be just a bounce or continuation of the uptrend
this guy is thinking like me
http://smartmoneytra...n-progress.html
dharma
#16
Posted 19 October 2012 - 10:55 AM
#17
Posted 19 October 2012 - 10:59 AM
In the world of 0 and 1: "austerity" is the right thing to SAY; "spent more, print more" is the right thing to DO.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take."
~ Wayne Gretzky
#18
Posted 19 October 2012 - 11:30 AM
In the world of 0 and 1: "austerity" is the right thing to SAY; "spent more, print more" is the right thing to DO.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take."
~ Wayne Gretzky
#19
Posted 19 October 2012 - 12:02 PM
#20
Posted 19 October 2012 - 02:12 PM
sinclair just put out a brilliant piece. understand that . and you will see the banksters will be your ultimate ally
stubaby, great charts
thinking in fib terms we still have not done a .382 of the recent advance
sound and fury
dharma
dharma:
If we are still in Wave 3 (Wave iv of 3) we hit the 38.2% FIB today (1,719.88)
stubaby