Posted 10 June 2010 - 09:52 AM
Dev,
thanks for your input and I see what you are saying, but I think this is a tough market - we are in a downtrend but there will be wicked rallies. said to someone last night that looking at the strong MF in, we would probably exceed 1077 today, but my other standard indicators were against it. It is still a down trend, and I have left core shorts on, but have taken a couple of small longs. looking to short nflx hopefully on a gap up tomorrow, thanks to the board for bringing that to my attention.
i have found it is always a problem on how to read the charts, how to weight divergent time frames and indicators - i wish it were as clear to me as to you, and thanks for helping me learn a little from your excellent exposition of how you do things. a lot of excellent analysis here and you know what they say - we learn the most from our mistakes. Noone need be embarrassed.
the last thing - the trend followers are completely different from the reversion to the mean players, so you will get good calls from both at exactly the opposite times. as long as money management is good, they will both do well. there are even fundamental guys that do well, but need to have deeper pockets and longer time frames by definition - not many of these on the board as they will inevitably be chased away. I use FA as part of my plan, like arb uses a macro view as context.
best,
klh