miners, esp juniors still BADLY lagging
dougie- crashing broad market will put a damper on the miners rise.
dharma
this has been a multi-year issue for the miners, about 5 in my book, and few have risen much past their previous highs in spite of
gold sky rocketing.
there is a big problem for many miners, especially jr's who seem to only benefit from manic episodes of buying but few
from sustained and broad-based rises in the value of gold miners vs. the metal they mine.
we hear all manner of stories and excuses why the miners cant or wont keep up, followed by steady assurances that
once gold breaks a specific price point, they will catch up. this didnt happen at $1000, $1100, $1200, $1300 or even $1400,
what objective proof do we have to suggest the miners will suddenly catch up and truly realize gains when gold hits $1500?
and by cathing up i mean resuming the historical trend of the miners:$gold ratio that prior to 2005/2006 saw many large cap miners
enjoying better value vis a vis gold.
my contention as a long time gold bug is that gold the metal will benefit, as will silver. the miners will be dragged along reluctantly but the trend will remain which sees gold miners rise a bit when gold jumps, and fall hard when gold sneezes or takes a breather. this is not a sustainable or healthy trend, mining companies face a treasure trove of issues unrelated to gold's price and this appears to be more fully realized, and in my mind: the way of the future.
miners will continue to suffer until the GDX:$GOLD ratio breaches prior highs.