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Current ST road map


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#101 EntropyModel

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Posted 01 June 2018 - 09:06 AM

IF we get above 2730'ish, I'd consider that a sT signal sell failure, rare! suggesting Swing trend is up ...but, I don't believe that due to the bot signature

all over this market and the chop setup - but it makes a run to 2740, even 2750 possible ...but longer term it wd make my signals more bearish

on the swing from there. 

 

The price persistence on the up moves is utterly insane at the moment - which is one clear sign its being driven by botz'  which makes

 is very difficult to call ST as said.


Edited by Entropy3.0, 01 June 2018 - 09:07 AM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#102 EntropyModel

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Posted 01 June 2018 - 12:31 PM

Wow what a grind-a-thon ! just like wednesday ..gotta love the bots right now.

 

The 'b' wave is still on (max 2740'ish) - but the action on the Comp is different, obviously, infact the Comp/Rut/Sox has diverged so much from the Dow especially ( weakest), and spx

that I might have to create a separate ST signal for them  - usually not necessary. * infact, I will do that over weekend. I don't trade Q's but it might help with read on SPX.

 

The action on Comp look more like a iii wave , of something. RUT is different again - all makes for extra difficulty.

 

As said, i'd rather be on vacation than trying to make sense of this but somebody has to it LOL 


Edited by Entropy3.0, 01 June 2018 - 12:35 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#103 EntropyModel

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Posted 02 June 2018 - 01:08 PM

icon-options.png
 
Post by Mark Davidson on 3 minutes ago
FYI - here is the 'b' wave setup i've been talking about 

www.screencast.com/t/GtFdwyOzE
www.screencast.com/t/VnSRj4Er43h

Right now, there are about FIVE ..count 'em and weep valid ST counts - nasty .. I believe monday will rule a few out ...
..as I said elsewhere, the added difficulty ( and its about as hard as its been as said in 2018 for me here to call ST), the RUT, comp
etc are all on DIFFERENT counts ..mama mia ..then the CAC/DAX DID put in a bounce off 5 down ..which means, its very high odds in a last bounce
before a iii down wave..yikes ...so its a VERY mixed and difficult wave setup ...ironically, which by tue/wed cd be very simple.

My 'best guess' - is a small gap up on SPX to 2740'ish that turns down - if its 'jumps the creek' to 2745 or so, maybe we tag 2750, 
but we'd get a third gap in row sell signal, these are been very high odds sold ( or bought on down gaps).

The tick also closed at one of highest reading of last 2 years.

I guess it all depends on da boyz plans, as were still at that 2730 KP ..and never got away from it despite huge strength friday, but
sunday night is globex fun time, when 'they' often spring a move ...so we'll see... we're up gap about 90/100 so if we don't, that's also telling.


The COMp - has a Different count', and its kind of hard to reconcile it this the 'abc' ..or variants thereof.
www.screencast.com/t/dkipnldgm

I think the best thing for me to do here, is not bother saying more until we see mondays action - because that cd/likey/hope/should clear things up alot,
unless we get a huge up trending day ...that wd have me a bit boggled to be honest .... if Comp took out for example its all time highs and opens up again Tue/wed
I wd not have a setup for that ..dunno' ...so I have that low odds.


THEN for the Ending Diagonal 5th IT setup - I had this setup, and its playing out - this fits xxxx setup for 2770 monday/tue before big drop, though, the 
drop wd only be to 2640-2650'ish.
www.screencast.com/t/ZXZtPExQOeRX

Remember the TIME is NOT to scale - so I didnt' expect the move up just yet here ....the ST signal went to sell, got whipsawed by the gap up fri, but is at sell again...
which had me leaning against this move completing here ..but if we move up monday that this is indeed high odds setup ..provided we don't takout out 2770 ..that is a massive
pivot on my work.

So ALOT on the line monday - maybe all week.

Rydex flashed me a very high odds SELL signal last week - I didn't talk about it ..I'm saying now ...so we've got ALOT of different analysis starting to line up,
but the fat lady hasn't sung just yet - but the 'back sweeps', gaps and price persistence I talked about are also bearish tape action to me longer term ...as said why.

But annoyingly, there are some pesky bullish things as well - on the technical area's ..so, were in a kind of market where one days action is appearing to dramatically
change the swing/IT setup to 'clear bullish' to 'clear bearish' and back/forth ...more than I can remember ..its wise then to let PRICE prove it, and not try to predict here 
too much, so I am more observer than trader here and waiting for resolution as said.
 

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#104 Waver

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Posted 04 June 2018 - 12:19 PM

It certainty seems like it is breaking out here
SP500 is above the hard resistance of 2742.

Lets see if it can get above that 2750!



#105 Waver

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Posted 05 June 2018 - 10:58 AM

2750 has been rejected again today.  Market seems to be struggling even after the alleged "Breakout".



#106 EntropyModel

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Posted 05 June 2018 - 02:30 PM

Yes, market is same old ...I don't see a resolution of the patterns I mentioned over weekend, though Comp did as expected tag its ATH high today,

it wasn't followed by Dow or SPX.

 

I do favor some degree of 'pullback' here, but its just more ranging type stuff ...  really, as said, I don't have much to say

until market either reach a clear signal on my system, or make a clear price move - its done neither mon/tue.


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#107 Waver

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Posted 12 June 2018 - 10:37 AM

Bullish now?

The breadth has been relentless and prices just keep grinding higher.



#108 EntropyModel

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Posted 13 June 2018 - 12:25 PM

Bullish now?

The breadth has been relentless and prices just keep grinding higher.

 

What timeframe?

 

I'm actually just back from vacation ...will post when I take a good look, but I'd definitely favor the ending diagonal I posted.

 

* and something along line of this setup I posted is still a good setup I believe - though, as said, the timescale isn't to scale ..we would

have to top out right here though I wd say today-this week. We've approximated the 1st three legs of it...needs to turn down here for 4th.

 

https://www.screenca...m/t/IPbadALw43y


Edited by Entropy3.0, 13 June 2018 - 12:37 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#109 EntropyModel

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Posted 15 June 2018 - 10:52 AM

Well,  so far has turned down ..and the long term LQ which has risen to new ATH, its close to sell signal here, so as said, I definitely

see this setup has high odds.


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#110 Waver

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Posted 17 June 2018 - 01:11 PM

Imo
Needs to turn down by Tuesday or less it breaks up big again.
Somewhere along the line it doesnt pay to be bearish