many data points I am looking at point to a crash next year in 2020. maybe still too early to confirm, and of course I can cook up many conspiracy theories.
but it certainly does not look like a good time to make any long term fixed investments, until perhaps after the elections in 2020.
for every crisis, may come good opportunities. I am looking at starting a real business and perhaps use market timing skills for some real work.real challenge would a multi year bear market in the works.
US government keep saying US economy is in v v good shape. maybe thats true but it could also be the best it can be for a long time to come. I certainly dun see any good prospect, especially this time nobody is going to let anyone steal any money. time for real work.
the really good thing about a recession and bear market is that goods and services become cheaper, governments also become friendlier, essentially business environment is more conducive. and also a less cocky US/China making trade easier. already seeing that in china.