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Uncertainty high, markets volatile, possibility of further price declines


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#41 dTraderB

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Posted 16 May 2020 - 02:25 PM

As I concluded last week:

“There is only one thing I am sure of, a raging bull market in stocks can NOT co-exist with a depressionary economy for long. The stock market is NOT the economy. But the economy is a reflection of the very thing that supports higher asset prices – corporate profits.”

We don’t like the risk/reward of the market currently, and suspect we will have a better opportunity to increase equity risk later this summer.
https://realinvestme...rigger-05-16-20

But, if things change, we will also.


Edited by dTraderB, 16 May 2020 - 02:26 PM.


#42 dTraderB

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Posted 17 May 2020 - 05:13 PM

Fed Chairman Powell tells ‘60 Minutes’ a recovery ‘will take awhile,’ but don’t ‘bet against the American economy’
May. 17, 2020 at 12:44 p.m. ET by Greg Robb


#43 dTraderB

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Posted 17 May 2020 - 05:16 PM

Worth noting that even though he has taken his long exposure down to 10-15%, Tepper also told me he wasn’t short the market in part because of the massive liquidity provided by the Fed. Tepper also can change his mind relatively quickly as things change.
Quote Tweet
 
pKRddT3o_normal.png
 
 
CNBC
@CNBC
· May 16
"The market is by anybody’s standard pretty full." Earlier this week, David Tepper said this is the second-most overvalued stock market he's ever seen, behind only '99. https://cnb.cx/2WtgCEU


#44 dTraderB

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Posted 18 May 2020 - 06:48 AM

pajama traders again got the biggest chunk of this overnight rally, if you can't beat them then join them

 

4 NQ trades so far ... hope this rally persists for at least another 2 hours so I can  add SPY PUTS 

 

Flat Es

Flat Crude -- will SHORT later today

 



#45 dTraderB

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Posted 18 May 2020 - 06:50 AM

MODERNA up 30% 



#46 K Wave

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Posted 18 May 2020 - 07:52 AM

And here is the the BIG DADDY SPX...clearly the strongest of the bunch at this juncture (other than NDX)

 

Back above that 15 min 200, and bears will likely get their heads handed to them on platter....

 

In any event, next week should give some good clues as to whether or not there may be a retest of the lows.

 

spx.png

 

And it looks very much like it will be out the top we go...barring an epic reversal after the open.

 

3K should be minimum target with thrusters re-engaged.

 

Above 3K it could get a lot worse for bears....but one step at a time....


Edited by K Wave, 18 May 2020 - 07:56 AM.

The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#47 dTraderB

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Posted 18 May 2020 - 08:27 AM

must  buy SPY puts -- at least 10 - if SPX is up by more than 3%

 

 



#48 dTraderB

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Posted 18 May 2020 - 10:26 AM

23 SPY PUTS

 

NQ 8-lot daytrading

 

CRUDE & ES flat

 

 



#49 K Wave

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Posted 18 May 2020 - 10:37 AM

As suggested this weekend, it now looks like 30 min starting to push upside as well.

 

Looks like a clean breakout  over the 30 min 900 thus far, with 200 already crossed above....

 

Be careful about spittin' into the wind, eh?

 

dji.png


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#50 dTraderB

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Posted 18 May 2020 - 01:00 PM

29 SPY PUTS

 

Great day in NQ, so far

 

Will we see SPX 2700 this week? or 2600? 

Maybe

 

We could also see SPX 3050 this week before 2700 or 2600....