Jump to content



Photo

VIX projecting a high into end of June.


  • Please log in to reply
48 replies to this topic

#1 Russ

Russ

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,196 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 07:36 AM

My FF... SPX is also indicating it has peaked in agreement with DW's clx work and should go down into the end of June.


"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong



http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/

#2 Waver

Waver

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 802 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 07:59 AM

How big of a down do you think?
New bear market lows (crash)
Or
Some type of retracement of Marchs rally?

#3 K Wave

K Wave

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 26,864 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 08:09 AM

How big of a down do you think?
New bear market lows (crash)
Or
Some type of retracement of Marchs rally?

already a crash in the airlines/ cruise lines.  well over 20% drops in many names in a few days


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#4 Russ

Russ

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,196 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 08:36 AM

How big of a down do you think?
New bear market lows (crash)
Or
Some type of retracement of Marchs rally?

Since the signal is for a SP500 low at the end of June, that is about 2 weeks, so it should just be a test of support before the market starts up again.


"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong



http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/

#5 K Wave

K Wave

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 26,864 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 09:03 AM

 

How big of a down do you think?
New bear market lows (crash)
Or
Some type of retracement of Marchs rally?

Since the signal is for a SP500 low at the end of June, that is about 2 weeks, so it should just be a test of support before the market starts up again.

 

would line up pretty well with something like this...

 

Off to a good start anyway....

 

ndx.png


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#6 gm_general

gm_general

    Member

  • TT Member+
  • 1,653 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 09:45 AM

VIX turned exactly at 200 SMA support and is near the 50 SMA resistance. These averages seem very important to it.



#7 K Wave

K Wave

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 26,864 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 10:39 AM

VIX turned exactly at 200 SMA support and is near the 50 SMA resistance. These averages seem very important to it.

With a beautiful Morning Star to boot....

 

There will be pullbacks along the way, but VIX may headed up for a lot more than a few days....


The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy

 

 


#8 Waver

Waver

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 802 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 11:52 AM

at this pace March's low will be gone by the end of June lol



#9 Russ

Russ

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 7,196 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 03:02 PM

 

 

How big of a down do you think?
New bear market lows (crash)
Or
Some type of retracement of Marchs rally?

Since the signal is for a SP500 low at the end of June, that is about 2 weeks, so it should just be a test of support before the market starts up again.

 

would line up pretty well with something like this...

 

Off to a good start anyway....

 

ndx.png

 

The force of this selling looks stronger than in March, almost 2000 points down on the dow, that could mean it is going to test the lows of March 23, we'll see.


"Nulla tenaci invia est via" - Latin for "For the tenacious, no road is impossible".
"In order to master the markets, you must first master yourself" ... JP Morgan
"Most people lose money because they cannot admit they are wrong"... Martin Armstrong



http://marketvisions.blogspot.com/

#10 K Wave

K Wave

    Member

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 26,864 posts

Posted 11 June 2020 - 03:31 PM

 

 

 

How big of a down do you think?
New bear market lows (crash)
Or
Some type of retracement of Marchs rally?

Since the signal is for a SP500 low at the end of June, that is about 2 weeks, so it should just be a test of support before the market starts up again.

 

would line up pretty well with something like this...

 

Off to a good start anyway....

 

ndx.png

 

The force of this selling looks stronger than in March, almost 2000 points down on the dow, that could mean it is going to test the lows of March 23, we'll see.

 

That 30 min 900 is now rising, and that makes it much more likely to hold if we get the long run down to it.

 

But if it got broken after a bounce, then the bullish case could be put to question no doubt.

 

All assuming we get that far down.....


Edited by K Wave, 11 June 2020 - 03:32 PM.

The strength of Government lies in the people's ignorance, and the Government knows this, and will therefore always oppose true enlightenment. - Leo Tolstoy