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GAME OVER - BOND MARKET IS BROKEN !


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#1 SemiBizz

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 04:06 PM

TESTS THE MARCH 2020 LOWS in TLT

 

BREAKS ON STRONGER VOLUME !

 

Where did it all come from???

 

Houston, do we have a Freakin' PROBLEM?

 

10 YEAR BLOWN APART ON VOLUME...

 

OVAH!!


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#2 qqqqtrdr

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 04:45 PM

I've been looking to buy this over the last couple months but it keeps falling...



#3 fib_1618

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 04:59 PM

Mid range close and ADX indicator strongly suggesting trend exhaustion here...look for lower rates into next week.

 

Fib


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#4 Rogerdodger

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 05:37 PM

Adrenaline junkies will hate this but...

In the late Terry Laundry’s Best Bond Strategy, he claimed remarkable success with a simple system of moving back and forth between junk bonds (like JNK) and treasury bonds (like TLT) as a conservative method of capital appreciation. It seems reasonable that comparing junk bonds to treasury bonds, one should be a better performer than the other and that’s the backbone of the Best Bond Strategy.

In bearish times treasuries are seen as a safe place to park money but as fear subsides, High yield corporate bonds do better.

Mr Laundry may have used a 50 week MA as a trigger as I had marked in late 2015.

 

Best-Bond-10-years.jpg

 

 

Best-Bond.jpg


Edited by Rogerdodger, 25 February 2021 - 05:59 PM.


#5 SemiBizz

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 05:50 PM

Mid range close and ADX indicator strongly suggesting trend exhaustion here...look for lower rates into next week.

 

Fib

 

Bonds won't recover until Congress passes the Stim-U-Pork deal... Mid March per Schumer.

 

For more enlightenment see TLT chart around 6/5/20 when the first bill was signed.


Price and Volume Forensics Specialist

Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"

Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.

http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics  http://parler.com/Volumedynamics

#6 RadioHead

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 06:12 PM

Mid range close and ADX indicator strongly suggesting trend exhaustion here...look for lower rates into next week.

 

Fib

 

Exactly! This is bullish for the S&P!



#7 qqqqtrdr

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 06:33 PM

Fed stepped in separate from the stimulus deal to support bonds...  Will likely do so here as well.



#8 fib_1618

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 07:00 PM

 

Mid range close and ADX indicator strongly suggesting trend exhaustion here...look for lower rates into next week.

 

Fib

 

Bonds won't recover until Congress passes the Stim-U-Pork deal... Mid March per Schumer.

 

Well...since the bond market is declining (rates are rising) mainly due to the inflationary socialist check list that's been plowed into the "deal", let's hope it doesn't pass in it's present form. But being a realist, looking out my window and seeing pigs fly would be a better bet since it will be ramrodded through to the ignorance of the masses.

 

Fib


Edited by fib_1618, 25 February 2021 - 07:06 PM.

Better to ignore me than abhor me.

“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin

 

"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw

 

Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.

Technical Watch Subscriptions



 


#9 da_cheif

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 07:41 PM

C wave declines gettsem every time        7years ago

 

https://www.siliconi...y economic boom



#10 steadyquest

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Posted 25 February 2021 - 07:56 PM

Looks like TLT might be targeting 133.

 

 

TLT.png

 

 

 

TLT2.png