The Long Bond is in a Bear Market and has been.
This chart is of the yield.
https://schrts.co/AdEvgXZD
At some point, this is going to be a problem for the economy and the stock market. Maybe now, but I think not yet.
Bear Market
Started by
OEXCHAOS
, May 12 2021 10:45 AM
8 replies to this topic
#1
OEXCHAOS
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Mark S. Young
Posted 12 May 2021 - 10:45 AM
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#2
SemiBizz
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Volume Dynamics Specialist
Posted 12 May 2021 - 11:03 AM
They are just trying to get through 3 days of TOUGH auctions...
Price and Volume Forensics Specialist
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Richard Wyckoff - "Whenever you find hope or fear warping judgment, close out your position"
Volume is the only vote that matters... the ultimate sentiment poll.
http://twitter.com/VolumeDynamics http://parler.com/Volumedynamics
#3
gannman
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Posted 12 May 2021 - 11:20 AM
this market is in deep trouble imho Mark
feeling mellow with the yellow metal
#4
Chilidawgz
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A fool and his money... (the second mousie gets the cheese)
Posted 12 May 2021 - 03:03 PM
The Long Bond is in a Bear Market and has been.
This chart is of the yield.
https://schrts.co/AdEvgXZD
At some point, this is going to be a problem for the economy and the stock market. Maybe now, but I think not yet.
10 and 30 are both in a bear, rates are rising since August 2021. We are past the Rubicon. The FED is now trapped. (I consider the FED and Treasury as one and the same. Both are corrupt institutions) Rates cannot rise as the government cannot pay increasing interest on all the debt they have created. Impossible. The FED can only print (buy it's own digital trash) even more confederate money far exceeding what they have done since 2009. So, where does money go to find a home is the question one must answer? So far it's been an overpriced bond market, stocks and commodities and housing.
Bonds are a government guaranteed loss. Stocks are exceedingly over valued and housing is not affordable for an increasing number of people.
As much as I hate it, I have sizable amount in cash. I am in FCX, REMX, RIO, URA and CORN. I trade in and out of GDX as it cycles up and down via two hour charts.
We are all in deep you know what looking forward. The government has destroyed free markets and the dollar's value.
Anything can happen...what's happening now?
No one can forecast the future. No one.
All stocks (ETF's) are BAD...unless they go up - William O'Neil
When The Time Comes To Buy or Sell, You Won't Want To - Walter Deemer
#5
qqqqtrdr
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Posted 12 May 2021 - 03:51 PM
I'm still looking at what to get into... I'm relatively high in cash, but have some in bonds... We have stocks, bonds, and Gold.. I'm in TLT and GDX and have been for about a month.. I'm not making much, but one of these will likely go up and FED is more likely to support the Bond market. When Crypto goes South. Gold has a better chance of going up... I will check market statistics tonight to see if this trend will continue...
#6
Chilidawgz
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A fool and his money... (the second mousie gets the cheese)
Posted 12 May 2021 - 04:10 PM
umm, my post should have said August 2020...duh 
Anything can happen...what's happening now?
No one can forecast the future. No one.
All stocks (ETF's) are BAD...unless they go up - William O'Neil
When The Time Comes To Buy or Sell, You Won't Want To - Walter Deemer
#7
pdx5
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I want return OF my money more than return ON my money
Posted 12 May 2021 - 04:16 PM
umm, my post should have said August 2020...duh
I figured that out immediately, but thanks for the correction post.
"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule
#8
Rogerdodger
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Posted 12 May 2021 - 04:19 PM
I consider the FED and Treasury as one and the same. Both are corrupt institutions
How dare you say that!
Power corrupts and absolute power...rules!
LOL!
"Nature's Failure to Function in a 'Predictable Way'... 500 years ago?"
BIGGEST SCIENCE SCANDAL EVER...Official records systematically 'adjusted'.
BIGGEST SCIENCE SCANDAL EVER...Official records systematically 'adjusted'.
#9
pdx5
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I want return OF my money more than return ON my money
Posted 12 May 2021 - 04:26 PM
My 2 cents worth:
Chilidawgz is correct. Rates can not go up much because US Treasury is in debt upto eyeballs, higher in proportion of GDP size than Greece during their meltdown.
"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule
