Jump to content



Photo

Historic Treasury Rate Explosion!


  • Please log in to reply
1 reply to this topic

#1 Rogerdodger

Rogerdodger

    Member

  • TT Member*
  • 26,875 posts

Posted 28 October 2023 - 11:09 AM

Wall St braces for $1.5 trillion in Treasury borrowing...

 

Get ready for more US debt sticker shock as Wall Street sees a bigger wave of Treasures flooding the bond market

Set to be released on November 1, the quarterly update will lay out the department's bond issuance plans for the next three months. A prior report with upward revisions raised concerns about the bond market's appetite for additional Treasurys, sending yields higher and contributing to a historic price collapse.

The collapse in Treasury bonds now ranks among the worst market crashes in history
https://markets.busi...-bubble-2023-10

Since March 2020, Treasury bonds with maturities of 10 years or more have plummeted 46%, Bloomberg says.
That's just under losses seen in the stock market when the dot-com bubble burst.
The bond rout is worse than the one seen in 1981 when the 10-year yield neared 16%.
Those losses are nearly in line with stock-market losses seen during the worst crashes of recent history — when equities slumped 49% after the dot-com bubble burst and 57% in the aftermath of 2008.

 

S&P 500 Enters Correction...

Gold outperforming...

 

Yield Curve & Black Swan signal? Started by Rogerdodger, 07 Sep 2023 


Edited by Rogerdodger, 28 October 2023 - 11:22 AM.


#2 pdx5

pdx5

    I want return OF my money more than return ON my money

  • Traders-Talk User
  • 9,528 posts

Posted 28 October 2023 - 11:39 AM

The crash in bonds was predictable and obvious. 

Why own LONG TERM bonds with artificially low rates in place for years from the geniuses at FED?

 

It is okay to lower Interest rates to artificially low levels during a crisis.

But leaving them low for years when.economy is doing good is fool's gold.


Edited by pdx5, 28 October 2023 - 11:43 AM.

"Money cannot consistently be made trading every day or every week during the year." ~ Jesse Livermore Trading Rule