Difficult markets to forecast but my FF is more pullbacl followed by new ATH by end if March. And, very bearish APRIL.
BUT, will the FED OPENLY SUGGEST STRONGLY there is no RATE CUT during next 3 months?
PULLBACK continues or new ATHs ahead?
Started by
dTraderB
, Mar 17 2024 05:00 PM
146 replies to this topic
#2
dTraderB
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Posted 17 March 2024 - 05:01 PM
Or, will the DATA do the FED'S work?
Difficult markets to forecast but my FF is more pullback followed by new ATH by end if March. And, very bearish APRIL.
BUT, will the FED OPENLY SUGGEST STRONGLY there is no RATE CUT during next 3 months?
#3
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 06:19 AM
Closed NQ LONG 18212.5
CLOSED ES LONG 5207
HOLDING 2 NQ & 1 ES HEDGE LONG
CLOSED ES LONG 5207
HOLDING 2 NQ & 1 ES HEDGE LONG
#4
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 06:25 AM
GOOGL UP 5%. NASDAQ MARKET TRADING PROBLEMS...
Both NVDA & AAPL UP, will close a few AAPL CALLS & 1 NVDA CALL if these do not go dowb
↗ Nvidia (NVDA): The chip-making behemoth will kick off its biggest developers conference of the year on Monday. Shares rose premarket.
Both NVDA & AAPL UP, will close a few AAPL CALLS & 1 NVDA CALL if these do not go dowb
↗ Nvidia (NVDA): The chip-making behemoth will kick off its biggest developers conference of the year on Monday. Shares rose premarket.
#5
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 06:42 AM
BARRON'S: As long as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell signals that the next move for borrowing costs will be lower, the stock market may not be too perturbed.
However, a change in language over whether the central bank could hike again would really set the cat among the pigeons.
In that scenario the Fed may rival the Bank of Japan for the most significant intervention by a global central bank this week. The BoJ may hike rates for the first time in 17 years, finally ending its era of negative rates.
The machinations of central banks have taken a back seat for investors recently as the artificial-intelligence boom has preoccupied minds. Thats about to change in a week that could shape global markets for the rest of the year.
However, a change in language over whether the central bank could hike again would really set the cat among the pigeons.
In that scenario the Fed may rival the Bank of Japan for the most significant intervention by a global central bank this week. The BoJ may hike rates for the first time in 17 years, finally ending its era of negative rates.
The machinations of central banks have taken a back seat for investors recently as the artificial-intelligence boom has preoccupied minds. Thats about to change in a week that could shape global markets for the rest of the year.
#6
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 06:46 AM
Re: Your Bond Market Crash
MARCH 18, 2024 BY JC
Over the weekend I found myself having to remind someone that the U.S. Bond Market is crashing.
I know many of us have just grown accustomed to the bond market crashing all year, every year.
But this isnt just something to dismiss, like many investors have apparently found themselves doing.
This is the biggest bond market crash in our lifetimes.
https://allstarcharts.com/blog/
MARCH 18, 2024 BY JC
Over the weekend I found myself having to remind someone that the U.S. Bond Market is crashing.
I know many of us have just grown accustomed to the bond market crashing all year, every year.
But this isnt just something to dismiss, like many investors have apparently found themselves doing.
This is the biggest bond market crash in our lifetimes.
https://allstarcharts.com/blog/
#7
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 06:49 AM
Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Monday:
U.S. NAHB March housing index; Canada Feb producer prices
Nvidia's annual developer conference
US Treasury auctions 3-, 6-month bills
U.S. NAHB March housing index; Canada Feb producer prices
Nvidia's annual developer conference
US Treasury auctions 3-, 6-month bills
#8
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 07:01 AM
THIS WILL ***NOT*** END WELL [especially for BIDEN]:
Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) posted at 5:53 AM on Mon, Mar 18, 2024:
The #Fed and #markets are finally on the same page on rate-cut expectations...and the really good news is that they got there without any major economic and financial dislocations. Now they need to account more fully for the multi-year shift in the macro-economic environment. https://t.co/B8fV5jPrPx
(https://x.com/eleria...4244446414?s=03)
Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) posted at 5:53 AM on Mon, Mar 18, 2024:
The #Fed and #markets are finally on the same page on rate-cut expectations...and the really good news is that they got there without any major economic and financial dislocations. Now they need to account more fully for the multi-year shift in the macro-economic environment. https://t.co/B8fV5jPrPx
(https://x.com/eleria...4244446414?s=03)
Key developments that should provide more direction to U.S. markets later on Monday:
U.S. NAHB March housing index; Canada Feb producer prices
Nvidia's annual developer conference
US Treasury auctions 3-, 6-month bills
#9
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 07:02 AM
HUGE BEARISH POLL! TOO BEARISH...
Helene Meisler (@hmeisler) posted at 1:12 PM on Sat, Mar 16, 2024:
The results are in and folks lean bearish once again. Three of the last four weeks have been voted 'down' and the market is mostly flat in that time.
So maybe we're not getting -100 but directionally you guys have been correct.
Thanks for voting! https://t.co/75nH9B7oqJ
(https://x.com/hmeisl...2137595293?s=03)
Helene Meisler (@hmeisler) posted at 1:12 PM on Sat, Mar 16, 2024:
The results are in and folks lean bearish once again. Three of the last four weeks have been voted 'down' and the market is mostly flat in that time.
So maybe we're not getting -100 but directionally you guys have been correct.
Thanks for voting! https://t.co/75nH9B7oqJ
(https://x.com/hmeisl...2137595293?s=03)
#10
dTraderB
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Posted 18 March 2024 - 07:04 AM
Helene Meisler (@hmeisler) posted at 10:50 AM on Sat, Mar 16, 2024:
Consensus bulls are, well, quite bullish. Current reading is 79. Hasn't been 80 or above in 20 yrs!
Been keeping data since 1987. Been 79 or more only 6 other times. https://t.co/cqTQk7BemB
Consensus bulls are, well, quite bullish. Current reading is 79. Hasn't been 80 or above in 20 yrs!
Been keeping data since 1987. Been 79 or more only 6 other times. https://t.co/cqTQk7BemB
HUGE BEARISH POLL! TOO BEARISH...
Helene Meisler (@hmeisler) posted at 1:12 PM on Sat, Mar 16, 2024:
The results are in and folks lean bearish once again. Three of the last four weeks have been voted 'down' and the market is mostly flat in that time.
So maybe we're not getting -100 but directionally you guys have been correct.
Thanks for voting! https://t.co/75nH9B7oqJ
(https://x.com/hmeisl...2137595293?s=03)
