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Will Jackson Hole Signal Risk-On?


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#21 dTraderB

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:43 AM

NVDA EARNINGS next week. Stock up more than 30% since recent lows. Closed more than 75% of longs. Will hold remaining longs, buy more stock below 110, SELL CALLS from now until eatnings if stock above 125

#22 dTraderB

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:47 AM

Scalping LONGS, add IT SHORTS. Can this narket continue to ignore all bad news? Yes, but not for much longer.

Rounding up again, average short 5570



#23 dTraderB

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:50 AM

That PAYROLL REVISED DATA may finally shift sentiment towards "BAD NEWS IS BAD"
"US NON-FARM PAYROLLS HAVE BEEN REVISED DOWN BY A WHOPPING 818,000

THIS IS FOR THE 12 MONTH PERIOD THROUGH MARCH 2024

This revision is the largest since 2009, the last year of the Great Financial Crisis

Truly insane."

#24 dTraderB

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:51 AM

Added 2 each spy & qqq puts

#25 dTraderB

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 12:05 PM

Closed bq & es long 19873.5, 5636.25

Nq long 19816.5

Closed es long 5646.5

Close nq long 19930

Es long 5618.75

Net short 1 each es, nq

Long nq 19795

Nq long 19805
Es long 5623.5



#26 dTraderB

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 12:07 PM

Close SMCI CALL

#27 redfoliage2

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 01:56 PM

Yes, at this juncture bad news is ignored and even treated as good news in terms of the pending Fed rate decision ......................


Edited by redfoliage2, 21 August 2024 - 02:00 PM.


#28 dTraderB

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Posted 21 August 2024 - 03:02 PM

Closed nq long 19916.5

#29 dTraderB

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Posted 22 August 2024 - 06:16 AM



Earnings and economic calendar

Thursday

Economic data: Initial jobless claims, week ending Aug. 17 (227,00 previously); S&P Global US manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (49.6 prior); S&P Global US services PMI, August preliminary (55 prior); S&P Global US composite PMI, August preliminary (54.3 prior); Existing home sales, month-over-month, July (+0.3% expected, -5.4% prior)

Earnings: Advance Auto Parts (AAP), BJ's (BJ), Cava (CAVA), Intuit (INTU), Peloton (PTON), Red Robin (RRGB), Ross Stores (ROST), Viking Therapeutics (VKTX), Workday (WDAY)



Friday

Economic data: New home sales month-over-month, July (+2.6% expected, -0.6% prior); Kansas City Fed services activity, August (-4 prior)

Earnings: No notable earnings.

#30 dTraderB

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Posted 22 August 2024 - 06:25 AM

MY FF: POWELL'S VERY BULLISH SPEECH ON FRIDAY will be followed by a ST TOP.
"
Fed Chair Jay Powell is set to speak on Friday in a key policy speech at Jackson Hole. If anything, this data tilts the focus on that discussion away from inflation even further and back toward the labor market.



As David Mericle, chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, wrote in a note earlier this month, "We expect Powell to express a bit more confidence in the inflation outlook and to put a bit more emphasis on downside risks in the labor market than in his press conference after the July FOMC meeting, in light of the data released since then."