Will Jackson Hole Signal Risk-On?
#21
Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:43 AM
#22
Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:47 AM
Rounding up again, average short 5570
#23
Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:50 AM
"US NON-FARM PAYROLLS HAVE BEEN REVISED DOWN BY A WHOPPING 818,000
THIS IS FOR THE 12 MONTH PERIOD THROUGH MARCH 2024
This revision is the largest since 2009, the last year of the Great Financial Crisis
Truly insane."
#24
Posted 21 August 2024 - 10:51 AM
#25
Posted 21 August 2024 - 12:05 PM
Nq long 19816.5
Closed es long 5646.5
Close nq long 19930
Es long 5618.75
Net short 1 each es, nqLong nq 19795
Nq long 19805
Es long 5623.5
#26
Posted 21 August 2024 - 12:07 PM
#27
Posted 21 August 2024 - 01:56 PM
Yes, at this juncture bad news is ignored and even treated as good news in terms of the pending Fed rate decision ......................
Edited by redfoliage2, 21 August 2024 - 02:00 PM.
#28
Posted 21 August 2024 - 03:02 PM
#29
Posted 22 August 2024 - 06:16 AM
Earnings and economic calendar
Thursday
Economic data: Initial jobless claims, week ending Aug. 17 (227,00 previously); S&P Global US manufacturing PMI, August preliminary (49.6 prior); S&P Global US services PMI, August preliminary (55 prior); S&P Global US composite PMI, August preliminary (54.3 prior); Existing home sales, month-over-month, July (+0.3% expected, -5.4% prior)
Earnings: Advance Auto Parts (AAP), BJ's (BJ), Cava (CAVA), Intuit (INTU), Peloton (PTON), Red Robin (RRGB), Ross Stores (ROST), Viking Therapeutics (VKTX), Workday (WDAY)
Friday
Economic data: New home sales month-over-month, July (+2.6% expected, -0.6% prior); Kansas City Fed services activity, August (-4 prior)
Earnings: No notable earnings.
#30
Posted 22 August 2024 - 06:25 AM
"
Fed Chair Jay Powell is set to speak on Friday in a key policy speech at Jackson Hole. If anything, this data tilts the focus on that discussion away from inflation even further and back toward the labor market.
As David Mericle, chief US economist at Goldman Sachs, wrote in a note earlier this month, "We expect Powell to express a bit more confidence in the inflation outlook and to put a bit more emphasis on downside risks in the labor market than in his press conference after the July FOMC meeting, in light of the data released since then."