4 replies to this topic

[Rogerdodger]

I think it was about May 10, 2006 when the month of selling started, dropping over 100 S&P points.
Is this a repeat?
There is a big sentiment difference here at TT. (Are we getting smarter?)

Mark's Data:
fully long vs fully short
5/1/06 31.03% 10.34%
5/2/06 36.36% 9.09%
5/3/06 38.46% 15.38%
5/4/06 33.33% 14.81%
5/5/06 25.00% 16.67%
5/8/06 34.15% 14.63%
5/9/06 33.33% 4.17%
5/10/06 24.00% 12.00%
5/11/06 16.67% 12.50%

5/1/07 19.35% 29.03%
5/2/07 21.88% 18.75%
5/3/07 27.27% 21.21%
5/4/07 27.27% 27.27%
5/7/07 22.73% 27.27%
5/8/07 24.24% 33.33%
5/9/07 18.18% 30.30%
5/10/07 22.22% 33.33%
5/11/07 32.00% 32.00% (so far)

In 2006, I was watching the $VIX to see if it would touch the top BB and reverse.
It blew right thru it and kept me from buying!
What will it do from here? I'll be watching.

http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$VIX&p=D&yr=1&mn=1&dy=0&i=p77083777807&a=27927380&r=6239.png


Don't forget The "Last Quarter Moon Low" should be near. WoooooooooooooOOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooooo.

Edited by Rogerdodger, 10 May 2007 - 10:48 PM.

[Rogerdodger]

So What does Sentimentrader.com look like then and now?
Tonight's jump looks kinda like the jump preceding May 11th which was down 15 points, as was the following day, Friday.

Edited by Rogerdodger, 10 May 2007 - 09:44 PM.

[dasein]

isee options recovered to 136 by todays close - seems a bit optimistic to me...

[Russ]

Another perspective...
http://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$VIX&p=D&yr=0&mn=3&dy=0&i=p63509586381&r=8318.png

[PorkLoin]

Roger, excellent posts. Arre we getting smarter? Yes, I think probably so. Maybe now we're too smart.

(I love this stuff.)


Best,

Doug