The disappointing February employment report pushed out the likelihood of an interest rake hike from August (was a nearly 100% probability according to the federal funds rates) to September (now a 60% likelihood for a 25 basis point increase)... This has provided a floor of support to the market, knowing that the FOMC will maintain its accommodative policy over the intermediate-term which should keep the trading environment favorable for equities
Jobs report and gold
Started by
PMILLY
, Mar 05 2004 09:06 AM
25 replies to this topic
#11
Posted 05 March 2004 - 10:05 AM
#12
Posted 05 March 2004 - 10:45 AM
stockbucks, good trade on BGO! I can't remember the others.
scott
#13
Posted 05 March 2004 - 10:50 AM
others are gss,drooy,gfi,hmy,kgc,gfi,hl,cde,ssri,paas
kinda dabating on whether the downtrend line resistance (from the Jan. and Feb. highs) on the xau/hui are acting as a selling point or a potential break out point soon. if it can't break above it soon then i may sell the everything.
#14
Posted 05 March 2004 - 11:11 AM
my secret accumulation indicator is still showing negative divergence and is still below zero on most gold stocks. I really don't feel like sitting thru a short over the weekend. Who wants to be short with the dollar weak and potential turmoil over the weekend leads me to think there will be a positve bias into the close.
Scott
#15
Posted 05 March 2004 - 11:31 AM
Agree with hiker and skott that might be better to wait until next week before taking any short positions. I also do not like to sit with short gold positions over the weekend. Who knows what can happen?
Pmilly
#16
Posted 05 March 2004 - 11:40 AM
xau/hui not moving any higher so i sold half my positions, will decide later on the rest if the HUI drops below +4.
SilentOne...whatsssaaappppp or anyone else think the xau/hui could break above their downtrend line resistance from the jan/feb highs? or it's a selling point? i can't tell and my indicators has turned neutral...i hate it when it can't decide
#18
Posted 05 March 2004 - 11:54 AM
makes sense, mss....thanks.
#19
Posted 05 March 2004 - 11:57 AM
thanks MSS...i'll just watch for now until HUI drops below +4 or later on what the heck just sell some more
#20
Posted 05 March 2004 - 12:59 PM
Hi Stockbucks,
Watch silver, a strong break of $7.00 and good bye. I'm really bullish silver. Own a wack of microcaps, CEF and gold and silver bullion. I think this move is going to surprise many.
Silver
cheers,
john
Watch silver, a strong break of $7.00 and good bye. I'm really bullish silver. Own a wack of microcaps, CEF and gold and silver bullion. I think this move is going to surprise many.
Silver
cheers,
john
"By the Law of Periodical Repetition, everything which has happened once must happen again and again and again-and not capriciously, but at regular periods, and each thing in its own period, not another's, and each obeying its own law ..." - Mark Twain