https://www.youtube....h?v=YjTdpKuADMk

According to my turn probability summation system, the day this coming week with the highest likelihood of seeing a turn in or acceleration of the current trend in the DJIA is Thursday October 29th, but the summation values for the rest of the week are so high that other turns of some importance are likely.

Last week the Thursday the 22nd turn window tagged a high of some degree depending on action early this coming week.  The whipsaw action that I thought might occur was just a run up then a run back down.  

This coming Wednesday I suspect we'll get another episode of Fed talk and no action.  Warsh's reinterpretation of Theodore Roosevelt's charge to speak softly and carry a big stick in which Kevin talks tough and carries a big balance sheet doesn't exactly seem to be having the desired effect on inflation.  At some point he's going to have to concede 3% is the new 2% or just admit that in a 2 trillion dollar deficit world with a 40 trillion dollar debt, folks are just going to have to endure inflation for the greater good, that is for the good of wealthy asset holders like him that is.  At this rate instead of babbling about the "K" economy, pretty soon the pundits on the tube will start talking about the "T" economy with everything at the top and nothing on the bottom.

For the last two weeks the bond and note market have been in a bell ringing rally.  Either my little whinge above about the Fed is completely off base and Kevin is a genius, or the economy is about to turn down sharply solving his inflation problem.  Me being wrong is probably the safe bet, but with the next stock market high risk window only about a week away, I am not going to don the dunce hat just yet.

Regards,

Douglas

The boyz have an excellent set up so far to lower the boom with a big gap down Monday AM  forcing some retail capitulation. (JMHO)

We did not hit my lower target and the set up looks like a quick early plunge to ~ SPX 7563 Friday ending at 7769! A gap up to 7883 by Monday, followed by a 2 TD drop into Oct 28 to SPX 7388. By Nov 4, tagging 8047 THE top before a crash into early Dec. Crazy stuff coming!

The Sun trine The North Nodes set this up  to the downside and we are going into some wild swings as we have both Mercury Rx and Venus Rx ahead. Late tomorrow, Venus Rx conjuncts the Sun at 0 degrees 45 minutes as the Sun enters Scorpio, a  major low and a high right next to each other going into Mercury Sta/Rx the full moon in Scorpio and the Sun sq. Pluto followed by a 6.3% drop into the FED day all within 3 trading days! Low to high tomorrow 2.7%, altogether up 4.2% into early Friday to early Monday then down 6.3% into early Wednesday then up 8.9% into November 4, 5 trading days followed by a 40% crash into early December with plenty of wild swings in between. Buckle up buttercup, things are about to get wild!

The cycles and wave action agree.

Nov  4, 2026     5:31 AM   Venus Rx 24 Libra 44 sextile Jupiter 24 Leo 44 High

Nov  4, 2026     9:24 AM   Sun 12 Scorpio 11 conjunction  Mercury Rx 12 Scorpio 11  Previous Day Low

This is 7 trading days later. Very similar action Nov 3-4 to Oct 23-26 

The financial media system is building a wall of worries, but really is it probable that the war escalates before November ? To me it won't.