the trend is your friend 2
#61
Posted 28 October 2010 - 01:44 PM
johngeorge
#62
Posted 29 October 2010 - 10:13 AM
#63
Posted 29 October 2010 - 12:20 PM
johngeorge
#64
Posted 30 October 2010 - 02:30 PM
Edited by alysomji, 30 October 2010 - 02:32 PM.
-Scott O'Neil (son of William O'Neil), Portfolio Manager at O’Neil Data Systems, when asked where the Dow would go in the coming months
#65
Posted 30 October 2010 - 03:10 PM
Just my humble opinion:
We have a close above $1358, albeit just barely. With the break of $1350 having occurred, I see a complex H&S bottom (or Adam & Adam bottom) has formed on the 2-hr chart which targets $1375-85.
I think it's best to assume the correction in gold is over - meaning that a re-test and possible breakout of the recent highs ($1380-90) is forthcoming.
For margin and top-up purchasing, I would only start to worry if my "caution price point" is broken - and as of today that's at ~$1333.
alysomji
Thanks for the analysis. You consistently bring good stuff and I always appreciate your input. FWIW I think we are moving higher very soon. Miners could very well start leading as well.
Best to you.
johngeorge
#66
Posted 30 October 2010 - 05:40 PM
sound analysis alysomjiJust my humble opinion:
We have a close above $1358, albeit just barely. With the break of $1350 having occurred, I see a complex H&S bottom (or Adam & Adam bottom) has formed on the 2-hr chart which targets $1375-85.
I think it's best to assume the correction in gold is over - meaning that a re-test and possible breakout of the recent highs ($1380-90) is forthcoming.
For margin and top-up purchasing, I would only start to worry if my "caution price point" is broken - and as of today that's at ~$1333.
we are on the same page. 1358 breaks into the next price cycle. imho the market is showing its intentions here. all the corrections since the july lows have been short in duration. and there have been over a dozen of em. all in all it was a near vertical move. but w/ over a dozen corrections. the top of the gold harmonic occurred and we went down to 1325 which is support and now the market broke through to the next cycle. want to be cautious then wait for another close above 1358. corrections in gold have been much longer in duration then the present correction to 1325 i am guessing that the length of the harmonic remains the same , but the correction time of the harmonic is much shorter. in other words, we are about to accelerate. take a look @the long term chart of hui. study it. since the 08 lows the market has made a consolidation for a huge up move. it would not surprise me in the least to see 850 by feb 11.
darn dharma, you have gone off the deep end on that one!
perhaps but the pattern is unmistakable and so is the projection.
the problem w/studying charts is you can see what happens but the knowledge of what it felt like @that time is unknown. we are @400 gold here sept 79 and we are about to near double in price over these next couple of months . jimmys 1650, while bold , is quite conservative. buffet is not a genius , he has studied the power of the trend. and for gold the trend is fairly established (10years or so) and about to accelerate. in holland , back when tulip bulbs were the craze they sold for unbelievable prices as did the nasdaq in 2k . we are talking about human nature here. its what the markets reflect and the species is about to wake up to the fact that they can print as much currency as they want. it has no intrinsic value , only the value folks put on it.
gold is finite. and the elephants in the room , the cbs, are no longer selling they are net buyers.
that guy in england who sold their heirloom of generations @the bottom of the gold market, is now running the country. what does that say for the species?
anyway, just my thoughts for the day
dharma
Edited by dharma, 30 October 2010 - 05:41 PM.
#67
Posted 30 October 2010 - 08:15 PM
sound analysis alysomjiJust my humble opinion:
We have a close above $1358, albeit just barely. With the break of $1350 having occurred, I see a complex H&S bottom (or Adam & Adam bottom) has formed on the 2-hr chart which targets $1375-85.
I think it's best to assume the correction in gold is over - meaning that a re-test and possible breakout of the recent highs ($1380-90) is forthcoming.
For margin and top-up purchasing, I would only start to worry if my "caution price point" is broken - and as of today that's at ~$1333.
we are on the same page. 1358 breaks into the next price cycle. imho the market is showing its intentions here. all the corrections since the july lows have been short in duration. and there have been over a dozen of em. all in all it was a near vertical move. but w/ over a dozen corrections. the top of the gold harmonic occurred and we went down to 1325 which is support and now the market broke through to the next cycle. want to be cautious then wait for another close above 1358. corrections in gold have been much longer in duration then the present correction to 1325 i am guessing that the length of the harmonic remains the same , but the correction time of the harmonic is much shorter. in other words, we are about to accelerate. take a look @the long term chart of hui. study it. since the 08 lows the market has made a consolidation for a huge up move. it would not surprise me in the least to see 850 by feb 11.
darn dharma, you have gone off the deep end on that one!
perhaps but the pattern is unmistakable and so is the projection.
the problem w/studying charts is you can see what happens but the knowledge of what it felt like @that time is unknown. we are @400 gold here sept 79 and we are about to near double in price over these next couple of months . jimmys 1650, while bold , is quite conservative. buffet is not a genius , he has studied the power of the trend. and for gold the trend is fairly established (10years or so) and about to accelerate. in holland , back when tulip bulbs were the craze they sold for unbelievable prices as did the nasdaq in 2k . we are talking about human nature here. its what the markets reflect and the species is about to wake up to the fact that they can print as much currency as they want. it has no intrinsic value , only the value folks put on it.
gold is finite. and the elephants in the room , the cbs, are no longer selling they are net buyers.
that guy in england who sold their heirloom of generations @the bottom of the gold market, is now running the country. what does that say for the species?
anyway, just my thoughts for the day
dharma
dharma:
Phase 3 equals Phase 1 - Minimum Target is:
Phase 1 - 35 to 519
Phase 3 - 519 plus 484 = 1,003 with typical FIB extension (1.618) = 1,302
850 is Wave 3 of 3 of 3 target (Wave 5's are typical the strongest in commodities and extend the most)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$HUI...amp;a=204807033
stubaby
#68
Posted 31 October 2010 - 09:50 PM
stubaby, your work is terrific.sound analysis alysomjiJust my humble opinion:
We have a close above $1358, albeit just barely. With the break of $1350 having occurred, I see a complex H&S bottom (or Adam & Adam bottom) has formed on the 2-hr chart which targets $1375-85.
I think it's best to assume the correction in gold is over - meaning that a re-test and possible breakout of the recent highs ($1380-90) is forthcoming.
For margin and top-up purchasing, I would only start to worry if my "caution price point" is broken - and as of today that's at ~$1333.
we are on the same page. 1358 breaks into the next price cycle. imho the market is showing its intentions here. all the corrections since the july lows have been short in duration. and there have been over a dozen of em. all in all it was a near vertical move. but w/ over a dozen corrections. the top of the gold harmonic occurred and we went down to 1325 which is support and now the market broke through to the next cycle. want to be cautious then wait for another close above 1358. corrections in gold have been much longer in duration then the present correction to 1325 i am guessing that the length of the harmonic remains the same , but the correction time of the harmonic is much shorter. in other words, we are about to accelerate. take a look @the long term chart of hui. study it. since the 08 lows the market has made a consolidation for a huge up move. it would not surprise me in the least to see 850 by feb 11.
darn dharma, you have gone off the deep end on that one!
perhaps but the pattern is unmistakable and so is the projection.
the problem w/studying charts is you can see what happens but the knowledge of what it felt like @that time is unknown. we are @400 gold here sept 79 and we are about to near double in price over these next couple of months . jimmys 1650, while bold , is quite conservative. buffet is not a genius , he has studied the power of the trend. and for gold the trend is fairly established (10years or so) and about to accelerate. in holland , back when tulip bulbs were the craze they sold for unbelievable prices as did the nasdaq in 2k . we are talking about human nature here. its what the markets reflect and the species is about to wake up to the fact that they can print as much currency as they want. it has no intrinsic value , only the value folks put on it.
gold is finite. and the elephants in the room , the cbs, are no longer selling they are net buyers.
that guy in england who sold their heirloom of generations @the bottom of the gold market, is now running the country. what does that say for the species?
anyway, just my thoughts for the day
dharma
dharma:
Phase 3 equals Phase 1 - Minimum Target is:
Phase 1 - 35 to 519
Phase 3 - 519 plus 484 = 1,003 with typical FIB extension (1.618) = 1,302
850 is Wave 3 of 3 of 3 target (Wave 5's are typical the strongest in commodities and extend the most)
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$HUI...amp;a=204807033
stubaby
the trend is your friend
dharma
#69
Posted 01 November 2010 - 09:37 AM
#70
Posted 01 November 2010 - 10:33 AM