the present situation
#51
Posted 15 April 2013 - 10:24 AM
#52
Posted 17 April 2013 - 09:41 AM
#53
Posted 17 April 2013 - 09:56 AM
couple of thoughts:
i dont believe the lows are in
11 was a mini parabolic
75-76 produced a 50% correction in gold which took 20 months to complete
we are now 20 months from the 11 highs. i also keep in mind that this bull is longer in duration than the previous bull
gold started trading on the comex in 74
this crash looks like the crash in 87 in the broads, i used the sp as a map. lets see if it continues to follow it
i also looked @the 08 crash in gold for comparisons.
i do not believe the top is in
i havent subsequently got the hgnsi but on friday it was -37.5% a new low. not a # seen @tops but @ bottoms
everyone in the euro zone, japan, and usa is being squeezed for money . interest rates remain @historic lows
the system is becoming more and more unstable
the dollar is in a triangle or pennant pattern.
=continuation pattern. which means that the dollar should continue the trend that it was in before the triangle/pennant
new lows would not surprise me. new highs for the move would not surprise me.
money is sloshing around the world seeking safety. cyprus is a case in point. the system is becoming more and more unstable
money is seeking returns and above all else safety
the dollars role as a reserve currency is being chipped away @. still old habits die hard
dharma
You could have simply used one sentence "I have no idea". Thanks.
#54
Posted 17 April 2013 - 10:34 AM
couple of thoughts:
i dont believe the lows are in
11 was a mini parabolic
75-76 produced a 50% correction in gold which took 20 months to complete
we are now 20 months from the 11 highs. i also keep in mind that this bull is longer in duration than the previous bull
gold started trading on the comex in 74
this crash looks like the crash in 87 in the broads, i used the sp as a map. lets see if it continues to follow it
i also looked @the 08 crash in gold for comparisons.
i do not believe the top is in
i havent subsequently got the hgnsi but on friday it was -37.5% a new low. not a # seen @tops but @ bottoms
everyone in the euro zone, japan, and usa is being squeezed for money . interest rates remain @historic lows
the system is becoming more and more unstable
the dollar is in a triangle or pennant pattern.
=continuation pattern. which means that the dollar should continue the trend that it was in before the triangle/pennant
new lows would not surprise me. new highs for the move would not surprise me.
money is sloshing around the world seeking safety. cyprus is a case in point. the system is becoming more and more unstable
money is seeking returns and above all else safety
the dollars role as a reserve currency is being chipped away @. still old habits die hard
dharma
You could have simply used one sentence "I have no idea". Thanks.
dharma, thanks for your thoughts.
And DrSp, thanks for your usual lack of thoughts.
"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).
“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”
"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."
#55
Posted 17 April 2013 - 11:28 AM
couple of thoughts:
i dont believe the lows are in
11 was a mini parabolic
75-76 produced a 50% correction in gold which took 20 months to complete
we are now 20 months from the 11 highs. i also keep in mind that this bull is longer in duration than the previous bull
gold started trading on the comex in 74
this crash looks like the crash in 87 in the broads, i used the sp as a map. lets see if it continues to follow it
i also looked @the 08 crash in gold for comparisons.
i do not believe the top is in
i havent subsequently got the hgnsi but on friday it was -37.5% a new low. not a # seen @tops but @ bottoms
everyone in the euro zone, japan, and usa is being squeezed for money . interest rates remain @historic lows
the system is becoming more and more unstable
the dollar is in a triangle or pennant pattern.
=continuation pattern. which means that the dollar should continue the trend that it was in before the triangle/pennant
new lows would not surprise me. new highs for the move would not surprise me.
money is sloshing around the world seeking safety. cyprus is a case in point. the system is becoming more and more unstable
money is seeking returns and above all else safety
the dollars role as a reserve currency is being chipped away @. still old habits die hard
dharma
You could have simply used one sentence "I have no idea". Thanks.
dharma, thanks for your thoughts.
And DrSp, thanks for your usual lack of thoughts.
If you read what he said, you wouldn't say that. What he said is actually very funny, contradicting himself in every single line and the next.
#56
Posted 17 April 2013 - 11:26 PM
Doc
https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$XAU&p=D&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&i=p13991490545&a=295142502&r=1366257029109.png
#57
Posted 18 April 2013 - 09:59 AM
#58
Posted 18 April 2013 - 10:18 AM
gold had another attack last night. gold reversed it . it can be seen as a double bottom.
the move off the lows projects to 1440
dharma
These overnight lows are usually tested during regular Comex hours Dharma, unless this time its different.
-tria
In the world of 0 and 1: "austerity" is the right thing to SAY; "spent more, print more" is the right thing to DO.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take."
~ Wayne Gretzky
#59
Posted 18 April 2013 - 10:32 AM
Closing some gaps from Dec 2008, we are.
Doc
https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$XAU&p=D&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&i=p13991490545&a=295142502&r=1366257029109.png
Will the grand H&S top objective be fullfilled.? Neckline 150, Head 230=80 minus 150 =70
#60
Posted 18 April 2013 - 10:46 AM
And I have a potential time to achieve this unthinkable objective, October 2013 or thereabouts.Closing some gaps from Dec 2008, we are.
Doc
https://stockcharts.com/c-sc/sc?s=$XAU&p=D&yr=5&mn=0&dy=0&i=p13991490545&a=295142502&r=1366257029109.png
Will the grand H&S top objective be fullfilled.? Neckline 150, Head 230=80 minus 150 =70
-tria
In the world of 0 and 1: "austerity" is the right thing to SAY; "spent more, print more" is the right thing to DO.
"You miss 100% of the shots you don't take."
~ Wayne Gretzky