Sat 5/12 - spot gold 1318
My gold COT trading system is still on a buy which I ignored last week because silver didn't confirm it.
Simply put, the gold commercials have a pretty small short position which is broadly associated with rises in gold.
Last Saturday I mentioned the expectation of ongoing "bullish consolidation". Fair to say that is what we saw with Friday closing $3 higher on the week. I also mentioned the possibility of gold dropping as far as the 1285 region (+/- $15). That is still open. A daily close above 1325 would do a lot to eliminate the chance of this drop and would shift the probabilities to the trend turning up.
Comments welcome.