203 replies to this topic

[dTraderB]

Biggest LONG POSITION for 2022.
Today could be busiest for the year.
2.4% down on account today.
JUNE MAY NOW BE THE FIRST LOSING MONTH OF 2022

NO way, no happening.

[K Wave]

1 MINUTE CHART

 

Will let chart do the talkin' as I am speechless....

 

[dTraderB]

The FED has already timidly delayed the rate rise;  going to the other extreme by raising 75 bps,  or even 100 as some predict, will shock the US economy into immediate recession and send the markets at least another 10% lower. 

 

JPMorgan Economists Now See Fed Hiking 75 Basis Points This Week

Goldman Sachs now forecasting a 75bp interest rate rise from the FOMC this week

Edited by dTraderB, 13 June 2022 - 07:03 PM.

[dTraderB]

This appears to be a TRIAL BALLOON by the FED or those near to the FED, especially since both JPM and GOLDMAN came out late today with their projections and "a FED WATCHER" also wrote about it:

 

WSJ Fedwatcher speculates about a 75 basis point hike

• This could be a market mover

• WSJ Fedwatcher Nick Timiraos is just out with a new report previewing the FOMC.

  "A string of troubling inflation reports in recent days is likely to lead  Federal Reserve  officials to consider surprising markets with a larger-than-expected 0.75-percentage-point interest rate increase at their meeting this week," he writes.

   
   

  The report is speculation but it taps into the old-style Fed leaks.

  There's a spike in Fed fund  futures  implied probabilities for Wednesday's meeting coming with this, with a 57% probability of 75 bps now.

  The report notes that Fed officials said their 50 bps signals were conditional on the outlook. Since then the CPI report was hotter than expected.

 

https://www.forexliv...-hike-20220613/

 

 

The FED has already timidly delayed the rate rise;  going to the other extreme by raising 75 bps,  or even 100 as some predict, will shock the US economy into immediate recession and send the markets at least another 10% lower. 

 

JPMorgan Economists Now See Fed Hiking 75 Basis Points This Week

Goldman Sachs now forecasting a 75bp interest rate rise from the FOMC this week

[dTraderB]

Now it is more than just trial balloon: it is the FED preparing the market for a 75bps. 
 

This is very bearish ... CRASH-yyyyy

 

https://cnbc.com/2022/06/13/fed-reportedly-may-hike-rates-by-three-quarters-of-a-point-this-week.html… "My reporting is that a 75-basis-point rate hike will be announced on the second day of this week’s meeting, is very likely"

 

 

This appears to be a TRIAL BALLOON by the FED or those near to the FED, especially since both JPM and GOLDMAN came out late today with their projections and "a FED WATCHER" also wrote about it:

 

WSJ Fedwatcher speculates about a 75 basis point hike

• This could be a market mover

• WSJ Fedwatcher Nick Timiraos is just out with a new report previewing the FOMC.

  "A string of troubling inflation reports in recent days is likely to lead  Federal Reserve  officials to consider surprising markets with a larger-than-expected 0.75-percentage-point interest rate increase at their meeting this week," he writes.

   
   

  The report is speculation but it taps into the old-style Fed leaks.

  There's a spike in Fed fund  futures  implied probabilities for Wednesday's meeting coming with this, with a 57% probability of 75 bps now.

  The report notes that Fed officials said their 50 bps signals were conditional on the outlook. Since then the CPI report was hotter than expected.

 

https://www.forexliv...-hike-20220613/

 

 

The FED has already timidly delayed the rate rise;  going to the other extreme by raising 75 bps,  or even 100 as some predict, will shock the US economy into immediate recession and send the markets at least another 10% lower. 

 

JPMorgan Economists Now See Fed Hiking 75 Basis Points This Week

Goldman Sachs now forecasting a 75bp interest rate rise from the FOMC this week

 

[dTraderB]

Walter Deemer

 

@WalterDeemer

 

Today was a 98% downside day. Oct 19, 1987 still holds the record: 99.8%.

[dTraderB]

Double Down DAY!  

In the reversal one but can spend a few days there

 

SUMMATION INDEX DROPPED 264

 

McC OSC -255 . 392 -463533 PRIOR McC OSC -128 . 672 -226125 SUMM Index -9 . 844 -736814 PRIOR SUMM Index 245 . 548

-27328

 

 

 

https://www.mcoscill...t_breadth_data/

Edited by dTraderB, 13 June 2022 - 07:28 PM.

[dTraderB]

Added 3rd ES & NQ HEDGE SHORT

ES 3772

NQ 11405

[dTraderB]

Now, JP MORGANS's Kolanovic says the FED will be less hawkish!  Read in this same post JP MORGAN predicts 75bs

 

Playing it both ways, a must win, but fooling only the retail crowd with this crp

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

xTrends

 

@xtrends

·

25m

 

I will go easy on kolon this time, we on the same side now

Quote Tweet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bloomberg Markets

@markets

· 2h

JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic says a surge in bond yields that's rattled global stock and currency markets has gone “too far,” leaving the door open for the Fed to stun investors with less hawkish policy https://trib.al/cxHfqaq

 

 

Now it is more than just trial balloon: it is the FED preparing the market for a 75bps. 
 

This is very bearish ... CRASH-yyyyy

 

https://cnbc.com/2022/06/13/fed-reportedly-may-hike-rates-by-three-quarters-of-a-point-this-week.html… "My reporting is that a 75-basis-point rate hike will be announced on the second day of this week’s meeting, is very likely"

 

 

This appears to be a TRIAL BALLOON by the FED or those near to the FED, especially since both JPM and GOLDMAN came out late today with their projections and "a FED WATCHER" also wrote about it:

 

WSJ Fedwatcher speculates about a 75 basis point hike

• This could be a market mover

• WSJ Fedwatcher Nick Timiraos is just out with a new report previewing the FOMC.

  "A string of troubling inflation reports in recent days is likely to lead  Federal Reserve  officials to consider surprising markets with a larger-than-expected 0.75-percentage-point interest rate increase at their meeting this week," he writes.

   
   

  The report is speculation but it taps into the old-style Fed leaks.

  There's a spike in Fed fund  futures  implied probabilities for Wednesday's meeting coming with this, with a 57% probability of 75 bps now.

  The report notes that Fed officials said their 50 bps signals were conditional on the outlook. Since then the CPI report was hotter than expected.

 

https://www.forexliv...-hike-20220613/

 

 

The FED has already timidly delayed the rate rise;  going to the other extreme by raising 75 bps,  or even 100 as some predict, will shock the US economy into immediate recession and send the markets at least another 10% lower. 

 

JPMorgan Economists Now See Fed Hiking 75 Basis Points This Week

Goldman Sachs now forecasting a 75bp interest rate rise from the FOMC this week

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

xTrends

 

@xtrends

·

25m

 

I will go easy on kolon this time, we on the same side now

Quote Tweet

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bloomberg Markets

@markets

· 2h

JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic says a surge in bond yields that's rattled global stock and currency markets has gone “too far,” leaving the door open for the Fed to stun investors with less hawkish policy https://trib.al/cxHfqaq

[dTraderB]

Helene Meisler

@hmeisler

·

40m

 

Yesterday's ETF put/call ratio was 1.97 which is the highest since it was 2.13 on 3/1/21. Prior to that was 2 on 11/11/20. Prior to that have to go back to Covid Crash.