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My Current Read of the Stock Market and the FED

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#21 blustar

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:22 AM

Danger Ahead!
February, 2, 2023
Brad Gudgeon, Editor
 
 
Yesterday's SPX low did not break the first trendline as I had thought it would. This is why I said, "Something is off". Instead it made a higher low and thrust the SPX to new recovery highs. The TLC low was correct, also the 70 pt. rally and the timing of it.
 
A normal Z wave decline drops as an a-b-c, this one is x-y-z, which makes this top yesterday (and today) so dangerous. Irregular Wave counts show up as negative divergences and yesterday and today are extreme!
 
It is also showing up as a potential delta hedge meltdown as the smart money starts buying puts and volatility today. The normal cycle low for a 54 week low here is Feb 6, so we could crash here easily. I have talked about today already being a potentially important cycle top.
 
I have TLC lows on Feb 6 and 7 and a top on the 8th, so things could get really wild! We risk a ~ 20% meltdown in the coming days. The Dow 30 Index is already warning us and may be the catalyst for what I believe is coming, or least an easily manipulated index by the corporate overlords.
 
I will be adding charts as the day progresses. So stay tuned.
 
 
Blessings,
 
Brad Gudgeon
Editor,
 
P.S. I bought SPY Feb 13 380.0 Puts at .15 & will be buying more today!

Blessings,

 

blu

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#22 12SPX

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:28 AM

Good for you blu, sticking to your guns nice to see and reporting live trades, didn't see one bull on this page put on a live trade before this move so I hope they keep their comments positive!! 



#23 pdx5

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 10:26 AM

Blu has scared me enough to take half of my longs off the table giveup.gif


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#24 blustar

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 01:35 PM

 Danger Ahead!
February, 2, 2023
Brad Gudgeon, Editor
 
Updated: 1:31 PM EST
 
As I write this, the VIX is +2.07%
 
 
Daily VIX
2_2_23_vix_daily.png

The Daily VIX + My 54 Week Cycle is telling me that we hit the impulse low on what could be the worse day since Black Monday Oct 19, 1987. There is also a FIB 55 week/17 TD low cycle in play that I believe hits on 2/13/23. The VIX and a Major TLC Low is telling me that peak VIX will be on 2/13/23. 
 
There is a minor TLC low due on the 7th (-w-x-) Wave W, so we likely gap up & then make a lower low that day then rally hard (-y-) into Feb 8/9 as we make a W-X-Y (W) Wave into Feb 16. A big sell-off should occur between Feb 10-13.
 
Feb 8 Venus in Pisces sextiles Uranus (makes peace with the Rebellion/Chaos) and Mercury semi-sextiles Saturn (Message of peace from the Beast?).
 
Feb 12 (Saturday) The Sun in Aquarius (Beast) semi-squares Jupiter in Aries (war), while the Sun semi-sextiles Neptune in Pisces (end of irrational rally).
 
On the 13th, Venus in Pisces sq. Rahu in Taurus mid session, 
back to irrational exuberance into Feb 16: (2/15 Venus in Pisces conj. Neptune; 2/16 Mercury [Beast Emmissary] in Aquarius sq. Rahu in Taurus [to the Rebels], the Sun in Aquarius conjunct Saturn (the Beast): top forming more trouble ahead).
 
Yesterday's SPX low did not break the first trendline as I had thought it would. This is why I said, "Something is off". Instead it made a higher low and thrust the SPX to new recovery highs. The TLC low was correct, also the 70 pt. rally and the timing of it, including Neptune in Pisces sq. Rahu in Taurus and the irrational exuberance, which turns to panic!
 
Rahu is conjoined to Uranus in Taurus and the Sun in Aquarius sq. Uranus in Taurus this weekend with Venus sq. Mars! This is a BIG sign of disruption coming and a war on cash!
 
The moon will be full also on Sunday opposing the Sun in Aquarius in the sign of Leo. Normally, the moon is bullish in Leo, but when aspected negatively can be aggressively bearish! 
 
This is the big clash of the Titans set up: war, control over the masses, fear porn & "Ordo Ab Chao",  Latin for "Order Out of Chaos", all a part of the Globalist "Hegelian Dialectic" control grid. "Never let a good crisis go to waste", the "Unholy Trinity of Evil" robotic slaves would say. Problem, Reaction, Solution... wink, wink...
 
A normal Z wave decline drops as an a-b-c, this one is x-y-z, which makes this top yesterday (and today) so dangerous. Irregular Wave counts show up as negative divergences and yesterday and today are extreme!
 
It is also showing up as a potential delta hedge meltdown as the smart money starts buying puts and volatility today. The normal cycle low for a 54 week low here is Feb 6, so we could crash here easily. I have talked about today already being a potentially important cycle top.
 
Tom Demark's countdown, confirms a top on the SPX today! Already silver and gold are selling off, as the tech buyers gleefully take that index to yet another high, oblivious to what is really going on around them as they revel in their "smart" decisions to buy Tesla, Alphabet, & Meta, all ready for the giant ash heap in due time. I just read that the NASDAQ had its best January since 2001, right in the midst of the dot.com bust! Get my drift...
 
I have TLC lows on Feb 6 and 7 and a top on the 8th/9th, so things could get really wild! We risk a ~ 20% meltdown in the coming days. The Dow 30 Index is already warning us and may be the catalyst for what I believe is coming, or least an easily manipulated index by the corporate overlords.
 
I will be adding charts as the day progresses. So stay tuned.

Blessings,

 

blu

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#25 blustar

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 02:13 PM

UVIX +6+%, VIX + 5+%, GDX -3%  the bulls are gonna s**t a brick! Better hedge w/ UVIX, buy SPY Put Protection!! FWIW. As usual consult with your long only financial advisor before making a decision...yes.gif Sheep to the slaughter!


Edited by blustar, 02 February 2023 - 02:14 PM.

Blessings,

 

blu

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#26 fib_1618

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 08:43 PM

UVIX +6+%, VIX + 5+%, GDX -3%  the bulls are gonna s**t a brick! Better hedge w/ UVIX, buy SPY Put Protection!! FWIW. As usual consult with your long only financial advisor before making a decision...yes.gif Sheep to the slaughter!

 

Sigh....you really need to look around and see what's going on under the hood.

 

Fib


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#27 blustar

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 09:50 PM

February 2, 2023
Brad Gudgeon, Editor
 
 

Daily VIX

2_2_23_vix_daily.png
The Daily VIX + The 55 Week / 16+1 Gann Low Cycle is telling me that we hit the impulse low on 2/13/23. The VIX and a Major TLC Low is also telling me that peak VIX will be on 2/13/23. 
 
There are 2 TLC lows due on Feb 6 & 7, so /a-b/ c of [a] of Z
 
Early Feb 8 Venus in Pisces sextiles Uranus (makes peace with the Rebellion/Chaos w-x-) and late Feb 8: Mercury (Message) semi-sextiles Saturn (Restriction of Freedom) likely acting on 2/9 with a 'y' wave of [b] of Z, [c] of Z of {A} into 2/13.
 
Feb 12 (Saturday) The Sun in Aquarius (The Beast System) semi-squares Jupiter in Aries (War), while the Sun semi-sextiles Neptune in Pisces (Panic).
 
On the 13th, Venus in Pisces sq. Rahu in Taurus mid session, 
back to irrational exuberance into Feb 16 Wave W of {B}: (2/15 Venus in Pisces conj. Neptune; 2/16 Mercury [A Beast Message?] in Aquarius sq. Rahu in Taurus [to the Rebels/Chaos/Disruption], the Sun in Aquarius conjunct Saturn (the Beast involved): top forming more trouble ahead).
 
I predict 1 retest of the bottom in late February 2023...
 
Rahu is conjoined to Uranus in Taurus and the Sun in Aquarius sq. Uranus in Taurus this weekend with Venus sq. Mars! This is a BIG sign of disruption coming and a war on cash!
 
The moon will be full also on Sunday opposing the Sun in Aquarius in the sign of Leo. Normally, the moon is bullish in Leo (which may come into being late Monday on a 'b' wave rally, but when aspected negatively can be aggressively bearish!) 
 
This is the big clash of the Titans set up: war, control over the masses, fear porn & "Ordo Ab Chao",  Latin for "Order Out of Chaos", all a part of the Globalist "Hegelian Dialectic" control grid. "Never let a good crisis go to waste", the "Unholy Trinity of Evil" robotic slaves would say. Problem, Reaction, Solution... wink, wink
 
A normal Z wave decline drops as an [a-b-c]. Irregular Wave counts show up as negative divergences and yesterday and today are extreme! The VIX has sported a rare quadruple POS D!
 
It is also showing up as a potential delta hedge meltdown as the smart money starts buying puts and volatility today, & so we could crash ~20% into Feb 13 easily.
 
Tom Demark's countdown, confirms a top on the SPX today! Already silver and gold are selling off, as the tech buyers gleefully take that index to yet another high, oblivious to what is really going on around them as they revel in their "smart" decisions to buy Tesla, Alphabet, & Meta, all ready for the giant ash heap in due time. I just read that the NASDAQ had its best January since 2001, right in the midst of the dot.com bust! Get my drift...?
 
Recap: I have TLC lows on Feb 6 and 7 [a] and a top on the 8th/9th [b], so things could get really wild as we head into [c] on Feb 13!  The Dow 30 Index is already warning us and may be the catalyst for what I believe is coming, or least an easily manipulated index by the corporate overlords.
 
So stay tuned.

Blessings,

 

blu

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#28 fib_1618

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Posted 02 February 2023 - 10:27 PM

You do have to admire his tenacity in all this....for better or worse...for richer or poorer.

 

Fib


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“Wise men don't need advice. Fools won't take it” - Benjamin Franklin

 

"Beware of false knowledge; it is more dangerous than ignorance" - George Bernard Shaw

 

Demagogue: A leader who makes use of popular prejudices, false claims and promises in order to gain power.

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#29 blustar

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Posted 03 February 2023 - 09:49 AM

FIB

 

I bought SPY Feb 13 380.00 Puts cheap. This is what I was waiting for... Everyone here was enjoying their long positions, but when all is said and done it comes down to making money. Will the long players here keep their profits or hedge them? It remains to be seen.

 

blu


Blessings,

 

blu

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#30 blustar

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Posted 03 February 2023 - 09:50 AM

Good for you blu, sticking to your guns nice to see and reporting live trades, didn't see one bull on this page put on a live trade before this move so I hope they keep their comments positive!! 

THX


Blessings,

 

blu

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