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If we gap down tomorrow - market is toast...especially if ..


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#31 EntropyModel

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Posted 13 March 2023 - 12:04 PM

From What I call tell spx tagged 3800 area this AM - so very close to that 3750-3780 target area ...to i'd expect btming here today/tomorrow ...then an attempt to swing up.
 
BUT I don't have any signal or model or anything data wise as usual around these events - i'd like to see that to confirm.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#32 EntropyModel

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Posted 13 March 2023 - 12:11 PM

fyi -I am VERY BUSY this week (with non market project - 3 part website interview I mentioned ) - but I will attempt juggle it all and post a TA video today or tomorrow IF the DATA come back LOL ...usually later ...I'm sure there is a totally reasonable explaination e.g. high volume ...but as a ex-techy I don't understand why they haven't solved that given this occurs

for the last 20 years on high volume days ..or some us 'conspiracy nuts' might believe its just to make like difficult for retail ..nah!


Edited by EntropyModel, 13 March 2023 - 12:12 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#33 EntropyModel

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Posted 13 March 2023 - 12:30 PM

To be clear here -

- I've said We topped 4200 a while back

- Any bounce off 3750-3800 area is a gift if you haven't got out of longs

- there is no guarantee we bounce, I put it high odds than just collapsing but the data I have is alarming as still no shorting/fear!


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#34 EntropyModel

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Posted 13 March 2023 - 01:53 PM

HEADS UP  - Given Biden on tv and headlines on BBC etc u wd have to anticipate some sort of temporary market intervention here ..seen it every time.

..usually the come last ..last 30 mins ...or maybe wait for tomorrow.

 

No TA can see it coming - but if the tape goes vertical late - dat's why ..we saw a ton of them in 2020.

 

* oh and Wall street is now campaigning predictably to stop more FED hikes LOL ..I highly doubt it will work but might given more 'slope of hope' for the 'last chance bounce'.


Edited by EntropyModel, 13 March 2023 - 01:57 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#35 EntropyModel

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Posted 14 March 2023 - 11:15 AM

HEADS UP  - Given Biden on tv and headlines on BBC etc u wd have to anticipate some sort of temporary market intervention here ..seen it every time.

..usually the come last ..last 30 mins ...or maybe wait for tomorrow.

 

No TA can see it coming - but if the tape goes vertical late - dat's why ..we saw a ton of them in 2020.

 

* oh and Wall street is now campaigning predictably to stop more FED hikes LOL ..I highly doubt it will work but might given more 'slope of hope' for the 'last chance bounce'.

 

Yep LOL


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#36 EntropyModel

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Posted 14 March 2023 - 11:28 AM

Crisis mode still on tape - how do I know? simple - stockcharts haven't fixed data that went missing yesterday, as also occurs 100% time during these events LOL ...and by

not backfilling screws up all TA - models like mine .... once crises is over it will re-appear ...its a signal I now use as heads up of intervention coming like today. 

 

So expect more volatility - if this predicable attempt fails, likely get another one that is recent MO


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#37 EntropyModel

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Posted 14 March 2023 - 12:05 PM

BONDS - TNX- not convinced they have topped ..everyone seems convinced again which is part of problem as seen this for over a year ! ...but technically, could still be wave 4 ..C down ...and 5 up into summer top... tbd


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#38 EntropyModel

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Posted 14 March 2023 - 12:08 PM

Crisis mode still on tape - how do I know? simple - stockcharts haven't fixed data that went missing yesterday, as also occurs 100% time during these events LOL ...and by

not backfilling screws up all TA - models like mine .... once crises is over it will re-appear ...its a signal I now use as heads up of intervention coming like today. 

 

So expect more volatility - if this predicable attempt fails, likely get another one that is recent MO

 

looks like failure to me already - too few shorts for fuel ...so I wd expect a choppy period next few days with more 'magic' upside moves...but ultimately it's going to fail because of fear of shorting from all the

previous time everyone with a clue knows its been saved.


Edited by EntropyModel, 14 March 2023 - 12:09 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#39 Waver

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Posted 16 March 2023 - 06:55 PM

Great calls on the market! How far do you think this bounce will go for? Any help is greatly appreciated!

#40 EntropyModel

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Posted 16 March 2023 - 06:59 PM

Great calls on the market! How far do you think this bounce will go for? Any help is greatly appreciated!

 

Thx Waver.

 

I posted this update today on the bounce - 

https://markdavidson...nal-bounce-area


Edited by EntropyModel, 16 March 2023 - 06:59 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB