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According to my turn probability summation system, the days this coming week with the highest odds of seeing a turn in or acceleration of the current trend in the DJIA are Tuesday July 14th and Wednesday the 15th.  Not sure if they are one window or two, but given what's happening those days (see below), there just might be two turns (or a turn and an acceleration).   

Last week the large mid-week turn window caught the low for the week as shown in red in the marketwatch.com chart excerpt below but missed a high on July 6th that may have been more important, of course, depending on what happens this coming week.  By the way my turn system is focused primarily on lows, so it has a harder time spotting highs.  Just the nature of the beast.

The QQQ diamond pattern that I posted last week has expanded a bit, but is still in play.

Tuesday the 14th we will get the latest read on June inflation and Wednesday Kevin Warsh will be testifying both of which could add a little extra juice to the turn windows this coming week.

Regards,

Douglas

To me it appears that volatility will remain as we make our way through July for this expiration cycle at least so last night with the futures open I sold the daily ES 7600 calls for $5 and they're looking decent this morning as we go into the cash open. 

According to my turn probability summation system, the window this week with the highest likelihood of seeing a turn in or acceleration of the current trend in the DJIA stretches from about noon on Tuesday July 7th thru about noon on Thursday July 9th with the peak reading on Wednesday.

Last week neither the Monday the 29th turn window which was apparently just part of a larger window from the week before nor the Wednesday July 1st turn window shown in the marketwatch.com plot excerpt below amounted to anything, so duds.  The steady DJIA march northward continued. 

This coming week there is a peak in my weekly cycle summation which should make it at least a bit more likely that a turn of some importance will occur this week.  Several of the other indexes are showing topping chart patterns, for example see the diamond on the QQQ below.  

Regards,

Douglas