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Volatility - "I lost half my money" - Sharon Stone

Yesterday, 04:49 PM

Posted by Rogerdodger in Fearless Forecasters

Says She 'Lost Half My Money to This Banking Thing'

"This is a hard time in the world," said Sharon Stone after she revealed she lost money following the recent bank failures that have led to the collapse of two financial institution

 

I feel my adrenaline and blood pressure rising just from reading this:
Wait 10 Seconds, Lose $1 Million in Markets Rocked by Volatility
https://finance.yaho...-181600631.html

All of which makes one thing crystal clear: In a market made more volatile by post-2008 regulations that curbed trading by Wall Street banks, the stakes are high every minute of every trading day at moments like this.

Portfolio manager at AlphaSimplex. “This short-bond trade has worked for 15 months. At some point, trends break, and this could be the point.”

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  127 Views · 1 Replies ( Last reply by fib_1618 )

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BULLISH: Not fighting FED, Central Banks, Governments --...

Yesterday, 04:43 PM

Posted by dTraderB in Fearless Forecasters

Very small long position, will buy the dips....

 

Not fighting those with trillions

 

They always win even if the lose for a day or two

 

Will also buy CRUDE 

 

Holding TLT CALLS and UVXY PUTS

Will add 

  121 Views · 2 Replies ( Last reply by dTraderB )

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SPY: Max Pain level Friday

Yesterday, 01:49 PM

Posted by Rogerdodger in Fearless Forecasters

You can quote me on this because I am quoting Mike Burk, who is quoting FX Evolution Max:

 

Max on FX Evolution pointed out that last Thursday’s rally brought the SPY (SPX equivalent), on which millions of option contracts are traded, up to the point of “Max Pain” t- he point at which most option buyers lose the most money.

 

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Technical Market Report For March 18, 2023

 
Saturday, March 18, 2023 9:40 AM EDT
New lows are at bear market levels and the secondaries are leading the way downward.

The Russell 2000 (R2K) is leading the way downward.

Except for last Tuesday when there were 99 new lows on the NYSE, new lows were well into triple digits, every day, on both the NYSE and Nasdaq.

 

 

Can this be a Bull Market if the "New lows are at bear market levels"?

 

Do we really need labels to successfully trade?

"The trend is your friend...but in what time frames?

In some time frames, it's been a Bull Market since July 8, 1932.. (following a 89.2% loss).

 

  161 Views · 2 Replies ( Last reply by Keepingcool )

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SPX Sector rebalance AAPL MSFT

Yesterday, 01:15 PM

Posted by K Wave in Fearless Forecasters

https://www.bloomber...watch#xj4y7vzkg

 

 

This could be real important going forward, as with such a massive weight in just 2 stocks, which also happen to be the 2 largest market cap stocks in the USA....

IF...things starts to turn south, selling could lead to even more selling....

 

The departures will shrink tech’s weight in the S&P 500, while also making the remaining companies in the industry index more influential. Apple and Microsoft together already account for 46% of the S&P 500 Information Technology Index, and that share will go up when Visa and Mastercard are removed: The credit-card companies are the fourth- and fifth-biggest components, respectively, of the tech benchmark, accounting for 6.8%.

 

The increased weighting of Apple and Microsoft means investors who are benchmarked against the tech index will have an incentive to own even more of those two stocks to keep up with the index, but that also would heighten the effect if the shares start underperforming the market.

 

 

Still, Apple and Microsoft stand alone in their influence. The two are the largest stocks in the overall market, representing 13.1% of the S&P 500. Over the past 10 years, the pair’s average combined weight was 8%. This means the rest of tech, regardless of individual corporate fundamentals, are likely to suffer if this strength reverses.

 

“If you have an environment where two companies that are a huge part of an index are performing differently than the rest, that’s a terribly difficult environment to operate in,” said Denny Fish, who manages tech sector funds at Janus Henderson.

 

And Famous last word here:

 

However, he stressed that the growing influence of tech wasn’t inherently a risk.

 

 

  105 Views · 1 Replies ( Last reply by pdx5 )

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AAII

Yesterday, 08:25 AM

Posted by 4caster in Fearless Forecasters

The 3/15/23 AAII readings are as follows: Bulls 19.2 Neutral 32.4 Bears 48.4. Most of the

time the AAII readings don't give a signal one way or the other. However, these current

readings bring the AAII stuff up on my radar screen to be watched more closely, A ST

bottom signal typically occurs when the Bull reading is at 20 or below while at the same

time the Bear reading is at 50 or above. These current readings are close to giving a ST

bottom signal but aren't quite there yet.. 

  162 Views · 3 Replies ( Last reply by K Wave )



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