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Hmmmmm

Today, 08:38 AM

Posted by 12SPX in Fearless Forecasters

Have been waiting for the cash open to see if the pop overnight was going to hold and now were even higher even though really nothing has been achieved in the end.  Selling the daily 7580 calls for $4.50

  93 Views · 1 Replies ( Last reply by 12SPX )

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Mr. Combover's had a good Birthday week so far, but

13 Jun 2026

Posted by slupert in Fearless Forecasters

tonight isn't going to his way. His favorite team, the San Antonio Bone Spurs are going to get beat by my Knicks!! Go Knicks!!

  135 Views · 0 Replies

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Trump and Iran, what clusterphuck and a big fail

13 Jun 2026

Posted by Chilidawgz in Fearless Forecasters

so iran will likely keep their nuclear and weapons process, seems like the US has failed

12:30 PM
 
Claude responded: That's a pretty fair assessment.

That's a pretty fair assessment. Here's the honest breakdown:

What the US said it wanted going in

  • Complete elimination of Iran's nuclear program
  • Regime change (they assassinated Khamenei)
  • A compliant, weakened Iran

What it looks like they're getting

  • A ceasefire Iran is dragging its feet on
  • Iran retaining control of the Strait of Hormuz
  • Nuclear issues "deferred" to future talks — which is diplomatic language for unresolved
  • No regime change — Iran's government survived

Why this looks like failure

  • Iran's nuclear knowledge can't be bombed away — even if facilities were destroyed, the expertise remains
  • Killing Khamenei didn't collapse the regime — it hardened Iranian resistance
  • The Strait closure hurt the US and its allies more than it hurt Iran in the short term
  • Iran has now shown every country in the world that absorbing a US attack is survivable

The uncomfortable parallel
This rhymes with other US military interventions — Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya — where overwhelming military force achieved initial objectives but failed to produce lasting strategic outcomes

The bottom line
The US likely set back Iran's nuclear program by months or years at most. It did not eliminate it. And Iran will almost certainly reconstitute its capabilities over time, probably with less international oversight than before, since any remaining nuclear deal framework has now been shattered by war.

So yes — on the core objective of permanently eliminating Iran's nuclear threat, the US has very likely failed.

 

  256 Views · 5 Replies ( Last reply by hhh )

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Quick and Dirty Look at the Turn Windows for the Week of...

12 Jun 2026

Posted by Douglas in Fearless Forecasters

This weekend I just had time for a quick and dirty look at the turn probability summation system before getting tied up for the rest of the week.  Looks like the days with the best bet for a turn or acceleration of the current trend in the DJIA are Tuesday June 16th and Thursday the 18th which appears to have the highest system reading for the week.

 

Last week the Monday the 8th turn window was part of a larger window from Friday the 5th of the previous week.  This window covered a nice move down but not the turn itself on Thursday the 4th, so it must be considered a dud although it probably could be called an acceleration window of sorts, but that's just letting the system off the hook for missing the turn.  The Wednesday the 18th turn window did tag the low for the week and the kickoff of the latest bubble event, the SpaceX rally.

 

June-13-Hourly.png

 

The Fed new guy Wednesday presser or the latest Iran War peace talks' news will probably be the main things moving the market in the coming week potentially resulting in some sharp swings.  

 

Regards,

Douglas

 

 

  149 Views · 0 Replies

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World has it's First TRILLIONAIRE

12 Jun 2026

Posted by pdx5 in Fearless Forecasters

 SpaceX IPO makes Musk the first trillionaire in the world, more than 5 times richer than any other person.

  166 Views · 3 Replies ( Last reply by slupert )



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