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Turn Window for the Week of July 6th
According to my turn probability summation system, the window this week with the highest likelihood of seeing a turn in or acceleration of the current trend in the DJIA stretches from about noon on Tuesday July 7th thru about noon on Thursday July 9th with the peak reading on Wednesday.
Last week neither the Monday the 29th turn window which was apparently just part of a larger window from the week before nor the Wednesday July 1st turn window shown in the marketwatch.com plot excerpt below amounted to anything, so duds. The steady DJIA march northward continued.
This coming week there is a peak in my weekly cycle summation which should make it at least a bit more likely that a turn of some importance will occur this week. Several of the other indexes are showing topping chart patterns, for example see the diamond on the QQQ below.
Regards,
Douglas
FWIW, I was expecting more selling, than
we see so far, would love to see a washout here for a gap fill. I'll probably bite. (JMHO)
the stock market this year is moving like a turtle
going on like that, I will have a white beard before getting to target with my longs. These are the moments I would like to be a day trader.
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OT: beauty is easy to recognize when you see it
https://www.youtube....rts/lAs_TWuobEY
from hadzabe tribe of Africa, probably the last true ancient hunters left on Earth
While waiting for the financials to end their short term correction and start the next up leg, I'm enjoying youtube's videos
189 Views · 1 Replies ( Last reply by andr99 )
Turn Windows for the Week of June 29th & Going to the...
According to my turn probability summation system, the days with the highest likelihood of seeing a turn in or acceleration of the current trend in the DJIA are Monday June 29th which might be part of a larger window extending from last Friday the 26th and Wednesday July 1st.
Last week the Thursday noon thru Friday the 26th turn window shown in red in the marketwatch.com plot excerpt below may have tagged a low of some degree early Friday morning. I suppose action this coming Monday will determine if that low or the high a couple of hours before the turn window early Thursday morning was more important.
It's not clear to me which of the two indicators on the NY Composite plot below is more important right now. The number of stocks above the 50 day average is declining and diverging with the index, but the AD line is in sync with the index heading higher. One of them is wrong. Heck if I know which one.
Warsh hits the speaking stump this coming Wednesday. Given the dearth of info on exactly what he plans to do, what he says could move markets especially given Wednesday is a turn window. The renewed shooting in Iran is the other obvious potential source of market moving news this week with the ceasefire pretty much deceased. Of course, with the dog days of summer rolling in with Sirius rising with Canis Major and Canis Minor in the mornings starting late this week, maybe nothing will move the market too much in any direction.
Regards,
Douglas
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