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The COVID-19 Death Rate Kept Decreasing in the US


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#61 redfoliage2

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Posted 25 June 2020 - 08:17 PM

You must have something mixed up - As of today the death number in the US: 126,771, not 484,000.  So your conclusion is way off ...................


Edited by redfoliage2, 25 June 2020 - 08:19 PM.


#62 claire

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Posted 25 June 2020 - 11:47 PM

You must have something mixed up - As of today the death number in the US: 126,771, not 484,000.  So your conclusion is way off ...................

 

 

You're right. I mistakenly reported the world's total deaths rather than for those in the U.S. My apologies. I'm glad you caught that since I was very distressed about those numbers. 

 

The corrected total deaths would be about 575,000 if 60% of the population were infected at the current rate of death. If better treatment could save 50% of those new deaths, which may be a stretch, the total would be approx. 350,000.

 

But remember, this number is limited by the assumption that immunity is long lasting or at least a year and there will be no reinfected people. It also assumes that there will be an effective vaccine before immunity wanes in those infected and we don't start this again next year. 

 

Also, if only 1% of those infected have longer term health consequence (an optimistic assumption) that would mean that 1% of 60% of the population leaves 1,986,000 with their health impacted and further stress on our healthcare system, the work-force, the economy, and human suffering.  (total population = 331,000,000; 60% = 198,600,000; 1% - 1,906,000). 

 

Our best hope is that this virus mutates to a less virulent state. I could mutate to a more virulent one. Meanwhile, we need TIME to do research that helps scientists do research that helps us learn more about this novel virus so we can improve treatment to save lives, stave off multi-systemic damage, and develop vaccines. Short-term thinking will lead to long-term more serious physical and economic damage.



#63 redfoliage2

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Posted 26 June 2020 - 07:26 AM

Whatever the assumptions you used to reach your conclusion the fact is that death number remains in down trend amid the rises in the confirmed cases, and the fatality rate keeps decreasing................


Edited by redfoliage2, 26 June 2020 - 07:35 AM.


#64 diogenes227

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Posted 26 June 2020 - 09:18 AM

Anyone noticing what's happening in Texas?


"If you've heard this story before, don't stop me because I'd like to hear it again," Groucho Marx (on market history?).

“I've learned in options trading simple is best and the obvious is often the most elusive to recognize.”

 

"The god of trading rewards persistence, experience and discipline, and absolutely nothing else."


#65 12SPX

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Posted 26 June 2020 - 09:48 AM

I saw Biden say we've had 120 million deaths in America he cant be wrong can he, lol!!  swoon.gif