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My latest Model forecast/Technical Analysis


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#1 EntropyModel

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Posted 17 March 2023 - 03:06 PM

I'm looking for a Retest of 3800 area Spxcash low at minimum  - if the lows don't hold (tbd - details on video) we will see an major down leg toward 3600 very fast.

If we can hold them with positive signals - a bigger swing up setup is on.

disclaimer: informational only, based on data model & TA view - do your own due diligence. 

 

https://markdavidson...nal-bounce-area

 

 


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#2 slupert

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Posted 17 March 2023 - 03:45 PM

I'm looking for a Retest of 3800 area Spxcash low at minimum  - if the lows don't hold (tbd - details on video) we will see an major down leg toward 3600 very fast.

If we can hold them with positive signals - a bigger swing up setup is on.

disclaimer: informational only, based on data model & TA view - do your own due diligence. 

 

https://markdavidson...nal-bounce-area

 

 

f was thinking 3870, December lows. Good Luck!



#3 EntropyModel

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Posted 17 March 2023 - 06:15 PM

 

I'm looking for a Retest of 3800 area Spxcash low at minimum  - if the lows don't hold (tbd - details on video) we will see an major down leg toward 3600 very fast.

If we can hold them with positive signals - a bigger swing up setup is on.

disclaimer: informational only, based on data model & TA view - do your own due diligence. 

 

https://markdavidson...nal-bounce-area

 

 

f was thinking 3870, December lows. Good Luck!

 

 

I'm thinking u mean 3770 - dec lows -   Are u thinking retest and big bounce ..or breakthrough?  

currently as said i'm  just looking for a retest of that zone 3770-3800 ...and determine if we bounce or break.


Edited by EntropyModel, 17 March 2023 - 06:16 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#4 EntropyModel

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Posted 19 March 2023 - 05:04 PM

FYI - had alot of conversations recently with some smart older business folks I met ...

 

It's clear to me - 

 - Those who've been around long time in business see what's coming .. a financial apocalypse over next 1-2+ years

 - Everyone else is not going to see it coming, including most investors/traders 

 

It really very odd, this is most obvious oncoming crises i've ever seen, but most are 'refusing' to see it.


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#5 Rogerdodger

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Posted 19 March 2023 - 06:18 PM

"most are 'refusing' to see it"

 

Because they are waiting for you to throw in the bear towel and say "The Bottom is IN!" purebs.gif

(I tickle me.)

 

"They" are not making it easy to escape...

 

Wait 10 Seconds, Lose $1 Million in Markets Rocked by Volatility
https://finance.yaho...-181600631.html

 

Is volatility like this healthy?


Edited by Rogerdodger, 19 March 2023 - 06:26 PM.


#6 EntropyModel

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Posted 19 March 2023 - 07:26 PM

"most are 'refusing' to see it"

 

Because they are waiting for you to throw in the bear towel and say "The Bottom is IN!" purebs.gif

(I tickle me.)

 

"They" are not making it easy to escape...

 

Wait 10 Seconds, Lose $1 Million in Markets Rocked by Volatility
https://finance.yaho...-181600631.html

 

Is volatility like this healthy?

 

Oh gosh I hope not Roger ..I doubt anyone is paying attention to me ... I think its more a function of two ..at least two things

 

1. A short memory - and two recent crises 2018  &2020were both 'buying opportunities' thx mostly to FED pivots - from QT to QE in late 2018, and  just plain massive QE in 2020..and most

are expecting the same - they are wrong, but that is big part why - I see this all over the financial 'matrix' - this is good old RECENCY BIAS + Massive FED moral hazard.

 

2. not understanding the 'real world' and being too focussed on statistics and 'similar periods' - there IS NOT similar period ...if u bother to understand whats actually happened last 20 years under CB experiment, and

 what happens when it blows up as it is beginning to now.

 

AND if folks were looking to me  to be bullish other than like from Oct low to this recent high .I was don't forget ..... then in term of bigger picture ..I think it will be a long wait ..at least some time in 2024 ..

and if things go wrong ... it might longer...I honestly believe this is likely start of generational crises.


Edited by EntropyModel, 19 March 2023 - 07:29 PM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#7 beta

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Posted 19 March 2023 - 09:13 PM

FYI - had alot of conversations recently with some smart older business folks I met ...

 

It's clear to me - 

 - Those who've been around long time in business see what's coming .. a financial apocalypse over next 1-2+ years

 - Everyone else is not going to see it coming, including most investors/traders 

 

It really very odd, this is most obvious oncoming crises i've ever seen, but most are 'refusing' to see it.

 

IYB has posted about this "normalcy bias."   Remember the Titanic. 


"Daytrading -- An Extreme Sport !"

#8 EntropyModel

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Posted 19 March 2023 - 10:28 PM

 

FYI - had alot of conversations recently with some smart older business folks I met ...

 

It's clear to me - 

 - Those who've been around long time in business see what's coming .. a financial apocalypse over next 1-2+ years

 - Everyone else is not going to see it coming, including most investors/traders 

 

It really very odd, this is most obvious oncoming crises i've ever seen, but most are 'refusing' to see it.

 

IYB has posted about this "normalcy bias."   Remember the Titanic. 

 

 

Yep ..that is true as well Beta .


Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#9 EntropyModel

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Posted 20 March 2023 - 11:19 AM

so 'bearish', er, not CBOE this AM ..'bad news is good news' slope of hope continuous

09:00 AM 614730 459139 1073869 0.75

09:30 AM 989879 774656 1764535 0.78

10:00 AM 1359371 1022936 2382307 0.75
10:30 AM 1652795 1285717 2938512 0.78

11:00 AM 1858483 1477081 3335564 0.79


Edited by EntropyModel, 20 March 2023 - 11:20 AM.

Question everything, especially what you believe you know. The foundation of science is questioning the data, not trusting the data. I only trust fully falsified, non vested interest 'data', which is extremely rare in our world of paid framing narratives 'psy ops'. Market Comments https://markdavidson.substack.com/?utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLznkbTx_dpw_-Y9bBN3QR-tiNSsFsSojB

#10 steadyquest

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Posted 20 March 2023 - 12:43 PM

My question is, did Jerome succeed in killing papa equity bear with his experimental inflation injection, or did he only wound/weaken him?

 

bear2.png